Tuesday, November 18, 2008

Tinkering at the Margins of Israeli Rule Will Not End Occupation or Settlement‏

Settlement Report | Vol. 18 No. 6 | November-December 2008
By Geoffrey Aronson
November-December 2008 Settlement Report

“Israel’s continued settlement expansion and land confiscation in the West Bank makes physical separation of our two peoples increasingly impossible,” wrote Palestinian Authority chairman Mahmoud Abbas in the Wall Street Journal on September 19, 2008. “We are impatient for our freedom. Yet partial peace, as proposed again by my current [Israeli] interlocutors, is not the way forward. Partial freedom is a contradiction in terms. Either a Palestinian lives free or continues to live under the yoke of Israeli military occupation. “We want our children to live with hope and the opportunity to realize their potential,” Abbas continued.” Yet our daily reality worsens. We are walled into shrinking pockets of land, reminiscent of the Bantustans of South Africa.”



Abbas, having despaired of an agreement with Israel, has reportedly turned his efforts to winning a letter of support from outgoing U.S. president George W. Bush for a “political solution based on the establishment of an independent Palestinian state within the June 4, 1967 borders.”



There was a time in the early decades of occupation and settlement when the international community applauded Israel’s “benevolent occupation.” Israeli leaders rationalized settlement creation by explaining that settlements were making use of “empty” land and that the introduction of settlers did not compromise Palestinian life in any way but was in fact an engine of modernization and economic advancement. When, however, Palestinian children are forbidden by Israeli soldiers to ride their bikes to school because of the outrageous security prerogatives of Israeli settlers, where concrete and barbed wire mark roads whose use by Palestinians is prohibited, and when Palestinian farmers are required to harvest olives only in coordination with Israeli soldiers for fear of settler attacks, it is not surprising that even the pretense of harmonious coexistence under occupation was long ago dropped from Israel’s arsenal of excuses for maintaining the status quo.



What has not changed, however, is Israel’s continuing commitment to preserving the core elements of occupation that today require the imposition of expansive restrictions on Palestinian life that grow more onerous as the settler population expands, whatever the costs to Palestinians. A recent International Monetary Fund report on the effect of the Annapolis process* notes that restrictions on Palestinian movement have increased in the past year, resulting in a contraction in real GDP in the first quarter of 2008. Despite extraordinary international effort, and the contribution of an unprecedented international aid, including $1.63 billion in direct budget support to the Palestinian Authority this year, the results achieved—more checkpoints, continuing economic stagnation, Gaza’s relentless push into penury, and the consolidation of Hamas’ rule there—are the opposite of the objectives established one year ago at Annapolis.



In an address to Quartet representatives on September 22, PA prime minister Salaam Fayyad took note of the failure of the central assumption guiding the international effort, namely, that Palestine’s economic rehabilitation can be achieved without reversing the essential elements of Israeli rule.



Expanding the settlements, which is a complete contradiction of the Israeli commitments in the framework of the road map and the Annapolis commitments, continues to limit the scope of the Palestinian economy and distances the political scope of a two state solution. This led to an increase in lack of expectations towards positive growth which has been generated among the investors. What has also aggravated the situation recently is that there was an increase in violence by the settlers against the Palestinians without any firm response on the part of the Israeli forces.



A recent World Bank report** highlights the calamitous, multi-faceted effect on Palestinian economic life produced by Israel’s land, settlement, and security policies, which resulted in a 150 percent increase in the West Bank settler population to almost 300,000 between 1989 and 2008 and a 400 per cent increase in the amount of land under its direct control. The report explains that Palestinians require “economic space”—in a word, land—for development and growth, without which they will be unable to prosper. “The increasingly entrenched and expanding impact of Israeli settlement activity on the Palestinian economy” must be addressed, it noted, “so that land administration policy foster[s] rather than constrain[s] growth and development and promote[s] the rational use of land resources in the entire West Bank .”



The crisis in Palestine created by Israel’s settlement and security strategy cannot be solved by piecemeal tinkering with the constituent elements of Israeli policy. Although reducing or even eliminating checkpoints, “freezing” settlements, restoring some sense of normality to Palestinian economic life, increasing the effectiveness of Palestinian security forces, or creating “metrics” for judging Israeli and Palestinian goodwill, are useful at the margins of Palestinian daily life, they fail to challenge the systemic nature of a hostile, military occupation intent upon preempting the exercise of Palestinian sovereignty and removing the levers of economic development from Palestinian control. As a recent newspaper advertisement by the Israeli anti-occupation organization Peace Bloc declares, the problem is not only the settlers: “The occupation is guilty in all of its spheres—the government, the army, the police, and the courts.”



Follow Us Not Them



One year ago, U.S. secretary of state Condoleezza Rice exhorted Palestinians to “follow us, not them [Hamas].” Meanwhile the Hamas model for ending occupation maintains its attraction, and Hamas’ rule is exhibiting the very characteristics of sovereignty—including a cease-fire negotiated with Israel—that the PA can only dream about. As Israeli columnist Nahum Barnea observed, “We tend to think that the residents of Gaza are unhappy: they suffer both from the oppressive Hamas regime, and from the siege that imprisons them in a small, suffocating enclave, and from IDF fire, in periods when there is no tahdia (cease-fire). A high ranking IDF officer reminded me this week that people there have a different perspective from here. ‘The West Bank lives under occupation,’ he said. ‘Gaza is independent. There are no roadblocks there. There are no settlers. There is the sea. The model for the admiration of every Palestinian child is the Hamas fighter, who fires Kassam rockets at Israel.’”



These Palestinian gains in Gaza are being won at high cost, but the achievements of the Gaza model may prove more substantial than those of the Annapolis process. As Prime Minister Salaam Fayyad warned during a November visit by Rice to Jenin, the centerpiece of the international effort to re-create an Israeli-Palestinian security and economic partnership, the U.S.-led effort is “not going to be sufficient to really get us to where we are going. What we are doing here is building towards statehood, toward ending the occupation and building towards statehood. If nothing else happens, or things do not happen on the other track to make it possible for us to realize that dream of getting to the point of being free, then that is not going to work. And it is going to increasingly be seen as an exercise in improving the quality of occupation. This is not what this exercise is about. This is about ending the occupation, not beautifying it.”



Notes



*“Macroeconomic and Fiscal Framework for the West Bank and Gaza: Second Review of Progress,” Staff Report for the Meeting of the Ad-Hoc Liaison Committee (Quartet), September 22, 2008.



**“The Economic Effects of Restricted Access to Land in the West Bank,” The World Bank, September 2008.

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