Wednesday, October 06, 2010

An Assessment of Netanyahu's leadership vs. the Reality of Israel's Position

A Time to Lead

By Herbert Zweibon, Chairman of Americans For a Safe Israel

OUTPOST. September, 2010

In the June issue we said that Obama was playing the anti-lsrael fiddle while the West burned. Now we must ask if Netanyahu is fiddling while the state confronts slow burning fires on many fronts. His administration appears to be in a state of denial, engaging in make-believe activities while avoiding the hard tasks that need to be done. There's no greater make-believe than the "peace process." Netanyahu issues a Ramadan message to Moslems around the world emphasizing his efforts to "move forward peace agreements," testifies defensively on Israel's boarding of the Turkish terror ship, and now agrees to "direct talks" under U.S. auspices, i.e., to submit to enormous pressure for major unilateral withdrawals, more "land for nothing."

Meanwhile Israel is passive, where it is not apparently blind to mounting dangers.

1. Turkey. Under Erdogan, Turkey has changed from ally to enemy. This transformation is especially dangerous because Israel has sold Turkey some of its most sensitive intelligence gathering systems and weapons platforms. Israel must now assume that if Turkey is not currently sharing these technologies with Syria and Iran (with both of which it is forging alliances), it will shortly be doing so.

Yet, Caroline Glick points out, "Both the statements and actions of senior officials lead to the conclusion that our leaders still embrace the delusion that all is not lost with Turkey." The IDF chief of Staff Gabi Ashkenazi told lawmakers: "Relations with the Turkish army are important and they need to be preserved." Instead of breaking off all military ties with Turkey, Israel is scheduled to deliver yet more sensitive equipment. Given Turkey's cooperation with the terror flotilla and its outrageous attacks on Israel in the incident's aftermath, diplomatic relations should also be
frozen.

2. Lebanon. The murder of Israeli Lt. Col. Dov Harari and the wounding of Captain Ezra Lakia by a Lebanese army sniper serves as a reminder of the looming disaster on Israel's north. Hezbollah, backed by Iran and Syria, has become politically dominant, and according to a recent IDF briefing, has 40,000 short and medium range missiles. It's only a matter of time before the ineffective UNIFIL, which was supposed to oversee the disarming of Hezbollah but is now under armed attack by it, flees the country. Barak promises to hold Lebanon responsible if (or rather, when) those missiles fly. He should instead be warning Syria that the road from the Golan to Damascus is wide open.

3. Gaza. While Israel engages in highly publicized confrontations with blockade-running ships, heavy weapons move through the tunnels between Gaza and Egyptian-controlled Sinai. Using pipes from the Mediterranean it would not be difficult for Israel to flood the deepest tunnels through which these weapons come.

4. Egypt. With Mubarak soon gone, the Muslim Brotherhood is likely to assume greater power within the regime and if so, the peace treaty with Israel (not that it ever was worth much) may be abrogated. But Glick notes that Netanyahu just made the "routine fawning pilgrimage to Mubarak" demonstrating Israel's leadership was "not thinking about the storm that is brewing just over the horizon in Cairo."

5. Iran. Netanyahu has made it clear that he recognizes the existential threat a nuclear Iran poses to Israel. What is not clear is what he intends to do about it. Since it is hard to imagine any circumstances under which Obama would take military action to prevent Iran acquiring nuclear capability, the ball is squarely in Israel's court.

If Netanyahu is to give Israel hope and direction, he must seize the initiative in confronting all the above challenges.

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