Wednesday, June 15, 2011

Egypt: Things Keep Getting Worse

Barry Rubin

Three months before the September elections there’s no real moderate party, no Mubarak-era establishment party, and no nationalist party. Just the Islamists and the far left. Now one of the last hopes has been dashed with the decision of the Wafd Party to align with the Muslim Brotherhood. The Wafd was Egypt’s liberal nationalist party from the 1920s to the 1952 revolution when it was closed down. The Brotherhood has a tradition of what entering and taking over purportedly secular political parties. So the Wafd isn’t going to be an anti-Islamist or alternative party. Who is? I always thought the Brotherhood would do well because it has a clear ideology, good organization, and a strong support base. Now I have to add another factor that may ensure its victory: no serious opposition. Lebanon: Things Keep Getting Worse
June 15th, 2011 - 4:37 am

By Barry Rubin

Is there a pattern here? I guess I’m going to be writing a series of “things keep getting worse” articles for some time to come because that’s what’s happening. After five months of bickering Lebanon has a government. It’s now a satellite of Syria and Iran with a government dominated by Hizballah (18 of 30 seats!) So let’s see, Turkey is governed by a more confident (arrogant) Islamist regime. Egypt is about to be governed by an Islamist regime. The Gaza Strip is governed by an Islamist regime now allied with the Palestinian Authority and backed by Egypt and Iran and Syria. Iran is moving toward nuclear weapons. The Saudis, Israelis, and lots of other people have lost confidence in the U.S. government. And the brave dissidents in Iran and Syria get no Western help. Meanwhile, Western Middle East policy is based on the work of a great political philosopher and statesman.

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