Nidra Poller
François
Hollande was elected president of France on May 6 with a score of 51.6%
to Nicolas Sarkozy's 48.4%. It was not the landslide that had been
predicted before the first round, and it was not the photo-finish upset I
had guessed at (or wished for) in my article.
Officially inaugurated on May 15, President Hollande named Jean-Marc
Ayrault as prime minister and took off for a rendez-vous with German
Chancellor Angela Merkel. His plane was struck by lightning -- no joke
-- and had to turn back. He arrived late, had to endure a formal
welcome in a chilly drizzle, and stumbled through protocol, politely
nudged and elbowed along the red carpet by his graceful hostess.
Predictions, for what they are worth, are that Hollande and Merkel will
reach a face-saving compromise. He will back down on his refusal to
ratify the Eurozone austerity plan, and she will offer some sort of
growth rider to placate the masses.
Meanwhile,
sunny Greece is in free-fall and may or may not leave the Eurozone.
The dollar-euro rate went from $1.33 to $1.27. François Hollande is
visiting Barack Obama. And French media are torn between underwriting
the promise of a giant Euro-wide shift away from austerity and an
inkling that no one will pay for Hollande's "New Deal" of growth by
public works projects.
Just
before the president of France left for the United States, he and the
prime minister presented their "exemplary" government: seventeen men,
seventeen women, and a strong dose of diversities. The Franco-Moroccan
Najat Vallaud-Belkacem is promoted from campaign spokeswoman to minister
of women's rights and government spokeswoman. Her dual citizenship is a
flower in the government's cap. She was, until December 2011, director
of the equivalent of a Moroccan lobby. Justice Minister Christiane
Tobira was once an activist for Guyanese independence. Cécile Duflot
jumped so fast from Green Party chief to minister of territorial
equality and housing that she came to the first cabinet meeting in tight
plump jeans that clashed with the period furniture and gilded curlicues
of the palatial Ministry. President Hollande is trying to fit a
Scandinavian-style presidency into the pomp and circumstance of la République française.
The
short-term fate of this government depends on the results of looming
legislative elections. Twenty-six of the 34 ministers, including the
PM, are standing for election. Those who lose must resign their
ministerial posts. Further, if the Socialists and their allies do not
win a majority in the legislature, President Hollande will be saddled
with an opposition prime minister and cabinet -- known as
"co-habitations" -- that will stop his program in its tracks. It's
unlikely, but it could happen.
European
countries are grappling with the impossibility of maintaining welfare
states in an uncontrollable globalized economy while allowing mass
immigration of non-qualified; non-integrated; and, to a large extent,
hostile populations. François Hollande promises that justice will be
done and prosperity restored now that Sarkozy has been kicked out.
Interestingly enough, Hollande's (underestimated) net worth is over a
million, and it's all in real estate -- no sign of investments in the
free enterprise, innovation, and industrialization he is committed to
promote. The rabble-rouser Mélenchon is worth two million. These humble
servants of the people are in the same bracket as Nicolas Sarkozy, the
"president of the rich."
The French-Arab springtime
François Hollande is welcomed by the media with a sigh of relief. The buzzword is "apaisement."
He is a soothing president who will heal a populace that has been
manhandled for five years by the bling-bling hyperactive divisive
omni-president Nicolas Sarkozy. Hollande will restore justice and bring
together a marvelously diverse population united by the values of la République. The French word "apaisement"
(pacifying or soothing) is the source of the English word
"appeasement." (But the appeasement we would apply to Chamberlain is "munichois.")
Apaisement
is in the air. Clearly taking a swing at the outgoing Claude Guéant,
incoming Interior Minister Manuel Valls declared that his ministry will
not stigmatize any community. Apaisement in the banlieue. Martiniquaise George Pau-Langevin, undersecretary for educational success, will bring apaisement to the schools. We can count on Tobira for apaisement in the courts. The defense minister is going to do apaisement
in Afghanistan by withdrawing French troops a year ahead of schedule.
And Foreign Affairs Minister Laurent Fabius can be counted on for apaisement in the Middle East, n'est-ce pas?
Turning away from Nicolas Sarkozy's tough stance on Iran, the new
administration is enthusiastic about talks. Former Socialist Prime
Minister Michel Rocard made a "private" visit to Tehran last week,
purportedly without Hollande's prior consent, intention, or
intervention. That visit takes place in the context of an international
onslaught of op-eds arguing that Iran is a hair's breadth from agreeing
to scuttle its nuclear arms program and snuggle into the arms of the
international community, if only that aggressive state of Israel can be
kept from spoiling it all. UNSC recognition of a Palestinian state is
back on the French agenda.
The
carefully dosed multicolor government is a faithful image of the
population that rushed into streets and public squares all over France
on the 6th of May to celebrate the ousting of Nicolas Sarkozy and the election of François Hollande. As I remarked in my blog posting
that evening, two Algerian flags waving smack in the path of the camera
veiled and unveiled the newly elected president as he gave his speech
at the Bastille. Flags from other Muslim countries were ostentatiously
displayed by youths clustered around the base of the Place de la
Bastille monument. Dozens of foreign flags were waved that night by
uninhibited patriots. What did it have to do with the election of a
French president?
Some
of those foreign flags were edited out when videos of the festive
scenes were broadcast the next day. Media commentary was unanimously
indulgent. The flags weren't foreign; they were hyphenated, a harmless
reminder of the multiple nationalities that compose modern France in all
its diversity. While mainstream journalists remained up in the air, Khoutzpa TV
touched ground and made contact with a Palestinian-flagged contingent.
Their message is rough, brutal, and supremely arrogant. Israel has no
right to exist, the Jews stole the country from the Palestinians, they
play on European guilt to hide their sins. You can't have a country for
just one religion. We saw what they do, it's on Daily Motion,
Palestinian kids are going to school or to the mosque and the Jews throw
stones at them, shoot them. A young man says, "We're going to go over
there and kick ass. And if that doesn't work, we'll go with guns."
Asked to give his name, he replies "Mohamed Merah." And he looks the
part -- the same punk strut, the same cold-blooded ignorance.
Disappointed
conservatives dismiss Sarkozy as a phony: he didn't stop legal or
illegal immigration; mosque construction flourished; he didn't bring law
and order to cities and villages; he didn't free enterprise, reform
structures, increase productivity. They say he just talked and rushed
around the world looking busy. Betrayed Zionists don't forgive him for
the vote to admit Palestine to UNESCO, for badmouthing Bibi, singing the
song about a Palestinian state being the sine qua non of
Israel's security. Almost everyone faults him for inviting Gaddafi to
spread his tents in Paris in 2007 and hosting Bashar al Assad for the 14
Juillet celebration in 2011. Some of those voters went over to the
Front National on the first round, and only 51% came back to Sarkozy on
the second. He needed a 75% crossover to be re-elected.
Many
of these alienated voters are counting on an implosion of the UMP that
will leave the field wide open for the ex nihilo creation of a genuine
political right. It is more likely that the ousted majority will
reshape without losing its grip. Those who remain loyal to Marine Le
Pen think she will pick up the pieces and replace the devastated UMP. I
think she has reached the peak of her potential and will start the
downturn.
Tucked
into a match between two fallible human beings with contrasting
principles and styles stands a referendum on two propositions. 1. The
economic crisis was caused by greedy speculators and will be reversed by
stimulus spending and the restoration of social and economic justice.
2. Islam is not a problem; speaking ill of Islam is the problem. If we
agree that Islam is a positive ingredient of our national composition,
harmony will be restored.
It would all be so lovely if only we weren't at war. A wartime statesman asks for blood, sweat, and tears. Not "apaisement."
But this war remains invisible to the majority of citizens. They want
change. That was Hollande's campaign slogan. They want hope. That's
what he offered them. They want the rich to pay for the food and drinks
so the party will never end. They want evil to be a harmless word you
can erase from the script. And anyone who says there is a war and it
has something to do with Islam is labeled far-right and pushed right off
the table. Men and women get voted in and out of office, but the ideas
by which we survive or perish are not dismissed. The issues that
tugged like a strong undercurrent in the depths of this election will
re-emerge and demand further thought and better propositions.
Update: Seen from here, the
Hollande-Obama meeting in the Oval Office was frank, cordial, and
productive. The two presidents see eye-to-eye on growth. They share
hopes that Iran will be firmly negotiated into abandoning its nuclear
ambitions. They agree that the situation in Syria is unacceptable.
They hope Greece will stay in the Eurozone. They are mutually
concerned about al-Qaeda in the Sahel. And François Hollande expressed
the fervent hope that he and Obama will pursue this fruitful
collaboration for many years to come.
Page Printed from: http://www.americanthinker.com/articles/../2012/05/francois_hollande_the_pacifier.html at May 19, 2012 - 10:26:36 AM CDT
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