IPT News
http://www.investigativeproject.org/3814/hamas-confounding-motivation
Palestinian advocates blame Israel for the latest clashes in Gaza, pointing out Israel's vastly superior military edge.
That superiority might be the one fact not in dispute. But it raises
the question of why Hamas would provoke Israeli retaliation by firing
hundreds of rockets at civilians, and now by broadening those attacks to
Tel Aviv and Jerusalem.
Hamas may have underestimated Israel's reaction to the incessant
rocket attacks, believing Israel was not prepared to further strain
deteriorating relations with the new Egyptian government. As a Muslim
Brotherhood offshoot, Hamas may expect Egypt would deter Israel from
taking severe action. Furthermore, Turkey's ongoing support for Gaza and
recent exhibits of Arab solidarity, such as the Qatari emir's visit to
Gaza in October, may have been construed as a sufficient increase in the
diplomatic risk facing potential Israeli retaliation.
In light of the emergence of more assertive jihadi groups
operating in Gaza, Hamas' control over the territory has been eroding.
As a result, Hamas' reputation as the main "resistance" force to Israeli
"occupation" has diminished. In this context, Hamas seeks a more active
and leading role in the fight against Israel to enhance its dominance
of Gaza and restore its image regionally. This is exemplified by Hamas claiming responsibility for Friday's rocket attacks on Tel Aviv and even the Israeli capital, Jerusalem.
Domestic concerns within the Palestinian political arena may also
have a role in the timing of this escalation. Palestinian Authority (PA)
President Mahmoud Abbas intends to request
the upgrading of the PA's status within the United Nations General
Assembly on Nov. 29. The date is symbolic since the UN voted for the
partition plan to facilitate a two-state solution on November 29, 1947 –
an offer Abbas has stated
was a mistake for the Palestinians to reject. The recent rocket fire
may be an attempt by Hamas to subvert the broader 'peace process,' as
the Palestinian issue is set to receive significant international
attention in the coming weeks.
With internal and global considerations in play, analyzing Hamas'
motivations for instigating this confrontation may be the key to
institute the appropriate American and international pressure required
to facilitate a de-escalation in the violence. Otherwise, Israel will be
forced to take more aggressive action to quell the unbearable rocket
fire.
No comments:
Post a Comment