Note: More to consider as you vote tomorrow
The
rise of the forces of jihadist Islam in Egypt places the US and other
Western powers in an uncomfortable position. The US is the guarantor of
Egypt's peace treaty with Israel. That treaty is based on the
proposition of land for peace. Israel gave Egypt the Sinai in 1982 and
in exchange it received a peace treaty with Egypt. Now that the
Islamists are poised to take power, the treaty is effectively null and
void.
The question naturally arises: Will the
US act in accordance with its role as guarantor of the peace and demand
that the new Egyptian government give Sinai back to Israel? Because if
the Obama administration or whatever administration is in power when
Egypt abrogates the treaty does not issue such a demand, and stand
behind it, and if the EU does not support the demand, the entire concept
of land-for-peace will be exposed as a hoax.
Indeed
the land-for-peace formula will be exposed as a twofold fiction. First,
it is based on the false proposition that the peace process is a
two-way street. Israel gives land, the Arabs give peace. But the
inevitable death of the Egyptian-Israeli peace accord under an Egyptian
jihadist regime makes clear that the land-for-peace formula is a one-way
street. Israeli land giveaways are permanent. Arab commitments to peace
can be revoked at any time.
Then there are the
supposedly iron-clad US and European security guarantees that accompany
signed treaties. All the American and European promises to Israel -
that they will stand by the Jewish state when it takes risks for peace -
will be exposed as worthless lies. As we are already seeing today, no
one will stand up for Israel's rights. No one will insist that the
Egyptians honor their bargain.
As it has become
more apparent that the Muslim Brotherhood and Salafist parties will
hold an absolute majority in Egypt's democratically elected parliament,
Western governments and media outlets have insistently argued that these
anti-Western, and anti-Jewish, movements have become moderate and
pragmatic. Leading the charge to make the case has been the Obama
administration. Its senior officials have eagerly embraced the Muslim
Brotherhood. Indeed, the spiritual head of the Muslim Brotherhood Yusuf
Qaradawi is reportedly mediating negotiations between the US and the
Taliban.
Qaradawi, an Egyptian who has been
based in Qatar since 1961, when he was forced to flee Egypt due to his
jihadist politics, made a triumphant return to his native land last
February following the overthrow of president Hosni Mubarak. Speaking to
a crowd of an estimated two million people in Cairo's Tahrir Square,
Qaradawi led them in a chant calling for them to invade Jerusalem.
Over
the years, Qaradawi has issued numerous religious ruling permitting,
indeed requiring, the massacre of Jews. In 2009, he called for the
Muslim world to complete Hitler's goal of eradicating the Jewish people.
As for the US, in 2003, Qaradawi issued a religious ruling calling for the killing of US forces in Iraq.
BOTH
THE Muslim Brotherhood and the Salafists are happy to cater to the
propaganda needs of Western journalists and politicians and pretend that
they are willing to continue to uphold the peace treaty with Israel.
But even as they make conditional statements to eager Americans and
Europeans, they consistently tell their own people that they seek the
destruction of Israel and the abrogation of the peace deal between Egypt
and Israel.
As the Jerusalem Center for Public
Affairs' Jonathan D. Halevi documented last week in a report on Muslim
Brotherhood and Salafist positions on the future of the peace between
Egypt and Israel, while speaking to Westerners in general terms about
their willingness to respect the treaty, both groups place numerous
conditions on their willingness to maintain it. These conditions make
clear that there is no way that they will continue to respect the peace
treaty. Indeed, they will use any excuse to justify its abrogation and
blame it on Israel. And they will do so at the earliest available
opportunity.
It is possible, and perhaps
likely, that the US will cut off military aid to Egypt in the wake of
Cairo's abrogation of the peace treaty. But it is impossible to imagine
that the Obama administration will abide by the US's commitment as the
guarantor of the deal and demand that Egypt return Sinai to Israel.
Indeed, it is only slightly more likely that a Republican administration
would fulfill the US's commitment as guarantor of the peace and demand
the return of Sinai to Israel after Egypt's democratically elected
Islamist regime finds an excuse to abrogate the peace treaty.
It
is important to keep this sorry state of affairs in mind when we assess
the prospects for a land-for-peace deal between Israel and the
Palestinian Authority. This week, following months of intense pressure
from the US and the EU, Israeli and Palestinian negotiators met face to
face for the first time in 16 months. According to Jordanian Foreign
Minister Nasser Judeh, who hosted the meeting, the Palestinians
submitted their proposal on security and border issues to Israel. The
sides are supposed to meet again next week and Israel is expected to
present its proposals on these issues.
There
are several reasons that these talks are doomed to failure. The most
important reason they will fail is that even if they lead to an
agreement, no agreement between Israel and the Palestinians is
sustainable. Assuming for a moment that PA Chairman Mahmoud Abbas goes
against everything he has said for the past three years and signs a
peace deal with Israel in which he promises Israel peace in exchange for
Jerusalem, Judea and Samaria, this agreement will have little impact on
the Palestinians' view of Israel. Abbas today represents no one. His
term of office ended three years ago. Hamas won the last Palestinian
elections in 2006.
And Hamas's leaders - like
their counterparts in the Muslim Brotherhood - make no bones about their
intention to destroy Israel. Two weeks ago at a speech in Gaza, Hamas
leader Ismail Haniyeh proclaimed, "We say today explicitly so it cannot
be explained otherwise, that the armed resistance and the armed struggle
are the path and the strategic choice for liberating the Palestinian
land, from the [Mediterranean] sea to the [Jordan] river, and for the
expulsion of the invaders and usurpers [Israel]... We won't relinquish
one inch of the land of Palestine."
In his
visit with his Muslim Brotherhood counterpart, Mohammad Badie, in Cairo
this week Haniyeh said, "The Islamic resistance movement of Hamas by
definition is a jihadist movement by the Muslim Brotherhood, Palestinian
on the surface, Islamic at its core, and its goal is liberation."
WITH
HAMAS'S Brotherhood colleagues taking power from Cairo to Casablanca,
it is hard to imagine a scenario in which supposedly peaceseeking Fatah
will win Palestinian elections. It is in recognition of this fact that
Abbas has signed a series of unity agreements with Hamas since May.
So
the best case scenario for a peace deal with the Palestinians is that
Abbas will sign a deal that Israel will implement by withdrawing from
Jerusalem, Judea and Samaria and expelling up to a half a million
Israeli citizens from their homes. Hamas will then take power and
abrogate the treaty, just as its brethren in Cairo are planning to do
with their country's peace treaty.
This leads
us to the question of what the diplomatic forces from the US, the EU,
and the UN who have worked so hard to get the present negotiations
started are really after. What are they trying to achieve by pressuring
Israel to negotiate a deal that they know will not be respected by the
Palestinians?
In the case of some of the
parties involved it is fairly obvious that they want to weaken Israel.
Take the UN for example. In 2005, Israel withdrew all of its military
forces and civilians from Gaza. Rather than reward Israel for giving up
land with peace, the Palestinians transformed Gaza into a launching pad
for missile attacks against Israel. And in June 2007, Hamas took over
the territory.
Despite the fact that Israel is
wholly absent from Gaza, and indeed is being attacked from Gaza, no one
has called for the Palestinians to give the territory back to Israel.
The UN doesn't even recognize that Israel left.
Last
September, the UN published yet another report labeling Israel as the
occupier of Gaza. And in accordance with this fiction, the UN - along
with the EU and the US - continues to hold Israel responsible for Gaza's
welfare.
Ironically, Hamas itself denies that
Gaza is under Israeli occupation. In an interview with the Ma'an news
agency on Tuesday, Hamas leader Mahmoud Zahar openly admitted that Gaza
is not under occupation. Speaking of Fatah's plan to launch massive
demonstrations against Israel, Zahar said, "Against whom could we
demonstrate in the Gaza Strip? When Gaza was occupied, that model was
applicable."
Hamas, the Muslim Brotherhood and
Fatah can all freely tell the truth about Israel and their commitment to
its destruction without fear of any repercussions. They know that the
Western powers will not listen to them. They know that they will never
have to pay a price for their actions. Indeed, they know they will be
rewarded for them.
Since the inauguration of
the land-for-peace process between Israel and the PLO 19 years ago, the
Palestinians have repeatedly demonstrated their bad faith. Israeli land
giveaways have consistently been met with increased Palestinian
terrorism. Since 1996, US- and European- trained Palestinian security
forces have repeatedly used their guns to kill Israelis. Since 1994, the
PA has made it standard practice to enlist terrorists in its US- and
European-funded and trained security forces.
The
US and Europe have continued to train and arm them despite their bad
faith. Despite their continued commitment to Israel's destruction and
involvement in terrorism, the US and the EU have continued to demand
that Israel fork over more territory. At no point have either the US or
the EU seriously considered ending their support for the Palestinians or
the demonstrably fictitious land-for-peace formula.
As
Israel bows now to still more US and EU pressure and conducts
land-for-peace talks with Fatah, our leadership may be seduced by the
faint praise they receive from the likes of The Washington Post or even from the Obama administration. But this praise should not turn their heads.
To
understand its feckless emptiness, all they need to do is direct their
attention to what happened this week in Cairo, as the Muslim Brotherhood
and the Salafists secured their absolute control over Egypt's
parliament. Specifically, our leaders should note the absence of any
voices demanding that Egypt respect the peace treaty with Israel or
return Sinai.
The time has come for Israel to admit the truth. Land-for-peace is a confidence game and we are the mark.
Originally published in The Jerusalem Post.
Comment: Policies do matter-the USA is the guarantor of this land-for-peace agreement. It should be noted that the current Administration's shift in policy as the guarantor has put Israel in a most dangerous position. The USA has abrogated its responsibility and as a result Hamas has grown stronger in Gaza, radical Islamist groups now make the Sinai their home and control the sand. I invite Americans who are ignorant of our history here in the region to begin a multi-month research, reading more than just "talking points" presented by agenda driven politicians and elitist academics.
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