An attempt is made to share the truth regarding issues concerning Israel and her right to exist as a Jewish nation. This blog has expanded to present information about radical Islam and its potential impact upon Israel and the West. Yes, I do mix in a bit of opinion from time to time.
really pretty simple. The American people understandably don’t want to
go to war with Syria, not to mention Syria’s patron of Iran. Going to
war is a serious matter to say the least. There’s no assurance how long
it will take, how many lives it will cost, and what turns it may take.
fact the Middle East has just had several examples of these wars. Iraq
and Afghanistan cost a lot of money and lives as they extended for a
much longer time than had been expected. In addition they derailed the
electoral fortunes and domestic programs. With the main emphasis of the
Obama Administration being a fundamental transformation of America such
distractions are not desired.
is one other important consideration. The Obama Administration does not
accept the traditional diplomatic and great power strategies. It
believes that it can reconcile with Islamist states; it does not
comprehend deterrents; it does not keep faith with allies; and it does
not believe in credibility, which is the belief that only power exerted
can convince a foe of seriousness.
administration has trapped itself with two problems. One is that the
rebels who are being
supported in Syria are extreme radicals who may set off blood baths and
regional instability if they win. The other is that a challenge has
been given to very reckless forces: Iran, Syria, and Hizballah. When the
United States threatens these three players the response is “make my
this is the situation. The United States is bluffing, it does not want
to exert force and probably won’t. In other words, Iran and Syria would
be quite willing to fight a war but the United States and its government
doesn’t have the will to do so.
is the optimum option for the Obama Administration ? To try to
negotiate – as unlikely as it is – a
deal in which some kind of interim or coalition arrangement would be
arranged with Russia and Iran to make a transition from the current
regime. And that mainly means stalling for time.
could work, though, if the regime does not actually win in the war. Aid
to rebels and some gimmicks, perhaps but no decisive action.
is, however. a problem. The two sides Syrian sides want to wipe each
other out. Why should the Russians and Iranians make a deal if they have
a winning hand? No diplomatic arrangement is possible. In fact the
diplomatic option is fictional or, to put it flatly, there is no
is not inconceivable that the White House would consider easing
sanctions on the Iranian nuclear program to have a chance on Syria.
is likely then is stalling, with the probability that the civil war
will settle into stagnation for several years and thus a de facto
partition of Syria. The United States simply can’t win given what it is
willing to do. And in a great power standoff that’s a very dangerous
Remember. though, that Iran cannot be said to have won as long as the civil war is continuing. The
Administration can simply depend on denial, which should be sufficient for domestic purposes.
ask yourself one question: Will the United States under Obama dare a
confrontation with Iran, Syria, and Russia to keep up American
credibility, deterrence, and confidence of allies who it is already
opposing on Egypt?
Of course not. This is already a president who could barely decide to kill Usama bin Ladin.