Sultan Knish
Every now and then an email comes my way warning about the day when the
government unleashes the military against its own citizens. This day
isn't likely to come because for one thing the current regime is not
particularly fond of the military.
The Obama Administration isn't inflicting massive cuts on the military,
cutting their health care and pushing veteran officers out the door
because it likes the military as an institution. It doesn't. And it
won't until it remakes it into a fully politically correct institution
dedicated to promoting tolerance and fighting global warming. Progress
has been made on that front, the Navy is cutting ships and spending
money on Green Energy. The Marines are celebrating gay marriage. Any day
now the Air Force will be announcing its first wheelchair pilot. But
it's still a poor fit with the culture of the left.
If Obama has to have any kind of military, he prefers the kind where
young men with college degrees sit in a room, push buttons and kill
people thousands of miles away from remotely controlled aircraft. That
kind of military is a closer cultural fit with a campaign that is in
love with technocratic solutions and always looking for shortcuts to
avoid the dangerous and dirty hard work that has to be done. It's also
much less dangerous.
Unleashing the military on a civilian population carries a price. Once
you call out the troops to protect your regime, one of two things
happen. Either the troops don't do it and your government is done. Or
they do it and your regime now lives or dies by the support of the
military. Within the last few years the use of the military in Egypt and
Iran turned generals into the arbiters of political succession. To the
left, the idea of the people they despise deciding who should run the
country and how is their biggest nightmare. It is one reason that we
still have a democracy.
The more that a country depends on its military, the more likely it is
to be run by the military. After the United States kept the Union
together through a civil war, the first elected President after Lincoln
was General Ulysses S Grant, the man credited by many with winning the
war. His successor, Rutherford B. Hayes was a another general and a
Civil War hero. As was Hayes' successor, James A. Garfield and his
successor, Chester A. Arthur. Democratic draft dodger Grover Cleveland
briefly broke the pattern, but then the Republicans were back with
Benjamin Harrison. From 1869 to 1893, America was ruled by the
Republican victors of the war who had at one time been able to put the
title of general in front of their name. And that's in a democracy.
Popular wars have led to generals becoming presidents. The Revolutionary
War gave us Washington. The War of 1812 gave us Andrew Jackson and
Zachary Taylor. The Spanish-American War gave us Teddy Roosevelt, though
he was only a Colonel. WW2 gave us Eisenhower. The Gulf War nearly gave
us Colin Powell. The current war may yet give us Petraeus. But the
Civil War gave us the largest amount of generals in the White House
because it was an internal conflict.
Israel, another democracy which is heavily dependent on the military,
has seated three generals in the Prime Minister's chair since the 1990's
and far more who are involved in politics. The leader of the opposition
is a general and there are five generals in Netanyahu's cabinet. This
is a direct result of the elevation of the importance of the military as
an institution. The more important the military is to the welfare of
the country, the likelier it is to become a career track to prominent
positions in the business world and in politics. And that's in a
democracy. Imagine the situation in a dictatorship that depends on the
military to stay in power.
The left might flirt with the idea of a people's military, but armies
are their own institutions and their function forms their character.
Communist attempts to create armies of the people still put guns in the
hands of peasants who didn't have much in common with their rulers.
After nearly a century of repression when the last dying gasp of the
Soviet elite called on the military to protect them from the people, the
military for the most part did nothing. It wasn't exactly the first
hint that the Red Army might be unreliable. Not when 130,000 soldiers
defected to the Vlasovites during WW2.
The Soviet Union did not depend on the Red Army, it did depend on the
secret police. And the KGB took over. The KGB nearly seized power after
Stalin's death and had to be suppressed by the Red Army. In 1982, power
fell to an actual KGB Chairman. Today Russia is run by former KGB
officers, including a fellow by the name of Vladimir Putin.
In a human body the part that is used the most is the part that
develops. So too in a government. When a government relies on the
military or the secret police, then those bodies will eventually become
the government. But our governments are not all that dependent on the
military. They don't rule through troops in the streets, but through
bureaucrats in government offices.
Most people don't do things because they are forced to at the point of a
gun, but because they have learned to follow regulations and to accept
those regulations as second nature. Military planners may run through
scenarios for suppressing a Tea Party uprising, but the people who
actually run the country know that all they have to do is issue a
bulletin and most people will go along with it.
Our dictatorship doesn't depend on men with guns, but men with pens and
pocket protectors. Men who fill out forms all day and who know where our
permanent record is. Our rule is under the empire of data. We are less
worried about informers and more worried that a form that we filled out
wasn't done the right way or was lost along the way. The American
headquarters of the KGB isn't in a law enforcement building, it's in the
EPA and the IRS and a thousand other bureaucratic institutions.
This is the kind of tyranny that the left understands and loves. A fully
unionized and unarmed network of bureaucrats enforcing a constantly
changing clothesline of rules whose full scope no one knows or
understands. This is the tyranny of the byzantine, the chain of
complexity and the power of baffling the citizen into submission with an
incomprehensible system.
The system we live under is exactly the kind that bearded graduates
debating dialectical materialism would build. A horrible Kafkaesque
monster that few rebel against because few understand it or are capable
of calculating the personal risks to them from the actions of the
system. It does not require troops, only some police officers, and their
task is less that of suppressing dissent and more of managing the
disastrous social consequences of the system.
If this system were ever forced to resort to armed force to stay in
power, it would have to undergo some fundamental changes. And that isn't
likely to be in the cards. Bureaucracy is a virus, it depends not so
much on who is in power, but on being the ones who run things for
whoever is in power. Whether Bush or Obama are looking out of the Oval
Office, the men and women who interpret their policies in line with the
existing agenda are the ones who actually run the country.
The grand show of the American government with its presidents and
senators, its elegant domes and assorted rituals, is a facade for the
true power of a shadow government of committee meetings and think tanks
who shape an agenda and then inject into organizations and associations
of government workers who turn it into institutional policy long before
the legislatures, governors and presidents have taken a single step.
This is where the true power lies and it is far more pervasive and
potent than most people realize. But it is a power that is wholly
dependent on our investment in its infrastructure. As long as the
majority of the people want the order of working post offices, schools,
health care programs, advisories and law enforcement, then the
bureaucracy will wield its power until a strong chief executive backed
by a united legislature confronts them. And meanwhile what we face are
not troops in the streets, but a few million unionized public employees
following policy as determined by think tanks, campaigned for by
activists and enacted by courts. This is how we are ruled. This is where
the danger lies.
If the people running this thing have to call out the military to
enforce its latest round of EPA orders, health care mandates and
affirmative action orders, then the system will not change that
drastically. At least not outwardly. The number of generals running
things however will increase and the kinds of people running things now,
the smooth Ivy League grads who have never done anything harder than
wait tables over summer break in their lives, will find themselves
taking orders.
The revolution of the left will be over, not immediately, not overtly,
but gradually the system of indirect power that the left has worked so
hard to build will become something else. Behind the scenes the system
will no longer have the same priorities. The Soviet Union stopped being
Communist long before it fell. Had the generals overthrown Hitler, the
Third Reich would have reverted back to a more conventional Prussian
military dictatorship, even if the soldiers still marched under
Swastikas. An America in which the power of the left is dependent on
troops in the streets will mean their own defeat. And they know it.
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