Friday, December 14, 2007

The “peace process” prevents a solution to the conflict.

As for Gaza, our options are limited because we are wedded to the peace process. Thus Israel is held hostage to it. Omedia just published Special Analysis: The Prospects of an Operation in Gaza Objectives by Liran Ofek.

After reviewing the threats he asks,

Considering the above threats, Israel must ask itself exactly what it wants to achieve in Gaza. The following objectives can be identified:

A. Damaging the Hamas infrastructure – [..]
B. Control of the Philadelphi Corridor – [..]
C. Damaging other infrastructures – [..]
Each of these objectives are presented as stop gap measures and each has its problems with sustainability.

Ofek suggests

“The current perception of Hamas is that the road to peace with the Palestinians passes through Gaza, or more accurately, through a military operation in the Gaza Strip. ”

“The above objectives and the potential costs involved force decision-makers to examine the very question of the use of military force and the optimal way to utilize forces with minimal friction and maximal pressure on the enemy.

“Taking these considerations into account (not to mention Israelis’ understandable sensitivity to casualties), it may well be that the use of military force is not necessarily the answer.

I have no trouble with this analysis. I believe it is correct. But it doesn’t go far enough. It does not draw conclusions as to alternatives or even what the problem is. It doesn’t entertain alternatives that would upset the international community.

It assumes the objective is to reach a peace agreement. That’s the end game.

But for me, this analysis proves that the process is a dead end, literally. Israel is facing an enemy that wants it dead. No peace process is going to change that.

Israel lost the Lebanon War II because it wasn’t prepared to occupy South Lebanon. Not like it did last time but by making it all a no man’s land. Most Lebanese evacuated this territory during the war. The land should then have been occupied until a peace agreement was negotiated.

As for Gaza, our options are limited because we are wedded to the peace process. Thus Israel is held hostage to it.

Once Israel declares an end to the process and to Oslo, then and only then will appropriate solutions become apparent.

Meanwhile Hamas keeps firing rockets, 21 yesterday alone.

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