RubinReports
Barry Rubin
Three short but powerful articles that demand our attention. I have grouped them for you this time only. Enjoy-Professor Rubin offers keen insights and should be read. On July 12, seven churches were bombed in Baghdad with 14 people being killed, many of them while attending religious services.
Christians in Muslim-majority areas are constantly being targeted by radical Islamists, especially in the Gaza Strip (where they've largely been driven out altogether), Iraq, Pakistan, and parts of Nigeria. There is also tremendous pressure against the Christians (Copts) of Egypt. Hundreds of specific incidents of murder, kidnapping, expulsion, threats, and the destruction of churches have been documented.
In other places--notably Syria and the Palestinian Authority's territories, and of course in Israel--Christians are protected and able to practice their religion freely. In other countries, like Saudi Arabia, the practice of Christianity by foreign workers is tightly restricted.
It is a mystery to me why Western Christian churches and organizations have been so indifferent to the persecution and murder of their co-religionists. This story is rarely covered in the mainstream media. There are no protests and little aid being rendered to imperiled Christian communities.
Indeed, when it is mentioned--as in the recent special issue of National Geographic magazine--the only country blamed is Israel. Yet my direct contacts with West Bank Palestinian Christians leaves no doubt that the cause of emigration is Hamas and such elements, either through threats or fear that Islamists will come to power in future.
Since Muslim-majority states or areas are the only places in the world today where Christians face real persecution, the silence on this issue is both inexplicable and despicable.
EU Policy on the Peace Process: Where’s The Adult Supervision?
Posted: 13 Jul 2009 04:34 AM PDT
By Barry Rubin
One of the reasons why Israel is so suspicious of negotiations efforts is that “friendly” Western countries and institutions seem to feel no obligation whatsoever to live up to their past commitments to Israel, commitments on whose basis concessions have been made and risks taken.
Now Javier Solana, the European Union’s chief diplomat with long experience in peace process mischief, has proposed a new plan. A deadline will be set for creating an internationally recognized Palestinian which would be made a member of the UN. There would be a timetable for settling all issues of borders, refugees, Jerusalem, and so on.
What is the obvious result of such a scheme? Knowing that it would get a state even if it does nothing gives the Palestinian side every excuse for…doing nothing.
This is precisely the reason why Israel has been insisting on making clear the principles of such a two-state agreement—Palestinian recognition of Israel as a Jewish state, settlement of refugees within the Palestinian state, an unmilitarized state, and adequate security guarantees—before agreeing to any such outcome.
So eager are the Europeans and the U.S. government to give the Palestinians a state that they don’t demand the Palestinian Authority does anything to prove its own reliability or indeed to make any commitments whatsoever. In short, they get the prize for free and then are asked if they are willing to pay something. Presumably they won’t
What makes this approach so, well let’s say it, insane, is that it serves neither Western interests nor promotes regional stability, not to mention Israel’s own rights and requirements. To create an unstable state, unbound by any commitments, and give it full international standing is a formula for ensuring the conflict is never resolved and increasing the level of violence and bloodshed in the area.
Aside from this, Solana’s proposal contradicts every agreement of the last 20 years, including most recently the Road Map, which the EU has endorsed, because these state that only an agreement negotiated by both sides would produce such a state as part of a comprehensive solution.
In other words, when the Palestinian Authority remains intransigent and doesn’t fulfill its commitments, it acts knowing that the Europeans and perhaps United States will rewrite the rules in its favor. Israel’s interests, which after all include its very survival, are ignored.
The Solana proposal will not be adopted. But let’s remember he is not some undergraduate writing a paper for a course but the EU’s highest-ranking diplomat. In theory, this makes him the second-most important international mediator, after the U.S. secretary of state. Perhaps he doesn’t really intend this proposal to be adapted; he’s merely currying favor with the Arab and Muslim worlds. But that’s the point, isn’t it? He’s playing games with our lives.
With such irresponsibility at the top of democratic states and supposedly seasoned senior diplomats, should anyone blame Israel for being skeptical and indeed disgusted with this whole process?
This is one of the reasons why Israel’s government rejects a freeze on construction on settlements and sees any two-state solution as the final step after an agreement is reached on key issues. If Western countries show there is adult supervision over their foreign policies, perhaps we will really make progress some day.
Obama's Good Intentions Sabotage Peace Process
Posted: 12 Jul 2009 11:35 AM PDT
By Barry Rubin
Look, this is the Middle East. It eats diplomats for breakfast, foreign ministers for lunch, and presidents or prime ministers for dinner. Here be dragons. Over there is quicksand. Get serious or get a different hobby.
The Obama administration had an idea of making the main--or at least initial--specific tactic of its Middle East policy to get a freeze of apartment-building on Israeli settlements on the West Bank. What happened should have been predictable. Israel is in no hurry to comply, giving the administration a choice between looking foolish and being a bully in a game that isn't worth the candle.
But there's a more immediate problem. Syria and the Palestinian Authority, which not long before had been--in part to show Obama that they were most cooperative and eager for peace, no matter how hypocritical that was--are now demanding a freeze on construction as a precondition for any further talks. In other words, the minimal chance for negotiations has been frozen due to the U.S. strategy. The ship is dead in the water.
The administration has--unintentionally, of course--even further slowed any actual manifestation of a peace process. Even to get anyone to sit down and talk at all during the rest of this year is now in question.
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