Victor Davis Hanson
The Washington Times
Most things that we read in the popular media about radical Islam are fantasies.
They are promulgated in the mistaken belief that such dogmas will
appease terrorists, or at least direct their ire elsewhere. But given
the recent news — murdering in Algeria, war in Mali, the Syrian mess,
and Libyan chaos — let us reexamine some of these more common heresies.
Such a review is especially timely, given that Mr. Brennan believed
that jihad is largely a personal quest for spiritual perfection; Mr.
Kerry believed that Bashar Assad was a potentially moderating reformer;
and Mr. Hagel believed that Iran was not worthy of sanctions, Hezbollah
was not deserving of ostracism, and Israel is equally culpable for the
Middle East mess. (Huh!)
1. Contact with the West moderates Radical Muslims
In theory, residence in the West could instruct young Muslim
immigrants on the advantages of free markets, constitutional government,
and legally protected freedoms. But as we saw with many of the 9/11
hijackers, for a large subset of Muslim expatriates, a strange
schizophrenia ensues: they enjoy — indeed, seek out — the material
bounty of the West. But in the abstract, far too many either despise
what wealth and affluence do to the citizenry (e.g., gay marriage,
feminism, religious tolerance, secularism, etc.) or try to dream up
conspiracy theories to explain why their adopted home is better off than
the native one that they abandoned.
Foreign students, journalists, and religious expatriates tend to
congregate around American campuses and in liberal big cities. There,
they are more often nursed on American race/class/gender critiques of
America, and so apparently believe that their own anti-Americanism must
naturally be shared by millions of Americans from Bakersfield to
Nashville.
Take Mohamed Morsi, Egypt’s new theocratic president. He should
appreciate the US. It gave him refuge from persecution in Egypt. It
allowed unfettered expression of his radical anti-American views. It
schooled him in meritocratic fashion and offered him secure employment
at the CSU system, despite his foreign national status. It gave
citizenship to two of his daughters (apparently retained). But the
result is that Mr. Morsi is an abject anti-Semite (“apes and pigs”) and
anti-American. He does not believe terrorists caused 9/11. He wants the
imprisoned, murderous blind sheik, who was the architect of the first
World Trade Center bombing, sent home to Egypt. And he is pushing Egypt
into a Sunni version of Iran.
2. The West Must Atone for Its Past Behavior
I have noted elsewhere both the fantasies found in Barack Obama’s
Cairo speech and their general irrelevance to the Muslim world. Polls
from Pakistan to Palestine — both recipients of massive US aid — show
that the US is as unpopular under Obama as it was under Bush.
All small nations have writs against large ones, especially the
globally ubiquitous US. But America must be seen in comparison to …
what? Russia’s artillery and missile barrage that leveled Muslim Grozny
(which the UN declared the most destroyed city in the world)? China,
which outlaws free expression of Islam and persecutes Muslim minorities?
Both are largely left alone by al Qaeda, due to their unapologetic
attitudes, possible unpredictable response, and inability to offer
attackers a globalized media forum.
In contrast, no single nation lets in more Muslim immigrants than does the US. No non-Muslim nation gives more foreign aid than does the US to the Muslim world — Pakistan, Jordan, Egypt, and Palestine. No
nation has so sought to save Muslims from dictatorial violence —
whether bombing European Christians to save Muslims in the Balkans;
jawboning Kuwaitis to spare Palestinian turncoats in 1991; trying to
feed starving Somalis; aiding Muslims fighting Russians in Afghanistan;
freeing Kuwaitis from Saddam; rebuilding Iraq; rebuilding Afghanistan
from Taliban terror; trying to free Libyans from Gadhafi; and on and on.
The sources of radical Islamic rage are thus not past US actions.
Read The Al Qaeda Reader to chart all the bizarre excuses that bin Laden
and Dr. Zawahiri alleged were the roots of their anger at the US. So
why exactly does radical Islam hate us?
Mostly because of the age-old wages of insecurity, envy, and a sense
of inferiority — and the hunch that such gripes win apologies,
attention, and sometimes money. In a globalized world, Muslims see daily
that everyone from South Koreans to North Americans are better off.
Why? In their view, not because of market economies, meritocracies,
gender equality, religious pluralism, consensual government, and the
Western menu of personal freedom.
To draw that conclusion would mean to reject tribalism, gender
apartheid, religious intolerance, anti-Semitism, statism,
authoritarianism, and conspiracy theory — and to admit indigenous rather
than foreign causation. Instead, it is far easier to blame “them” for
turning the majestic Islamic empire of old into the chaos of modern
Islam — as well as to fault Arab secularists whose lack of religious
zealotry allowed the West to move ahead. All antidotes to these
deductive beliefs — foreign aid, democratization, outreach, better
communications — have so far proved ambiguous at best.
3. Israel Is the Source of Muslim Rage
Note two facts about the current mass killing in the Muslim world, in Afghanistan, Algeria, Libya, Mali, Syria, and Yemen. First, it has nothing to do with Israel.
Second, the Muslim world is largely silent about the carnage that
dwarfs the toll of an Israeli response to missiles from Gaza. The Muslim
world cannot do anything about Muslim-on-Muslim violence, but
apparently thinks others can do a great deal about Israeli-on-Muslim
violence, which is sporadic at best.
Why, then, do Westerners so often scapegoat Israel? A
number of very human considerations, apart from the most obvious of
anti-Semitism, the Arab world’s oil wealth, and the vast demographic
fact of 1 billion persons versus 7 million. We have influence with
Westernized and liberal Israel, none with Mr. Morsi or the Libyan
assassins or the Algerian hostage-killers.
Symbolic pressure is a psychological mechanism to excuse factual
impotence. The Arab world is so complex and so torn by tribalism,
religious schisms, and embedded pathologies that the Western mind seeks a
simple sword stroke to Israel to cut such a complex Gordian knot. For
now the problem is supposed to be Mr. Netanyahu, who in appearance and
speech seems like an easily demonized American neocon.
Yet every writ against Israel is elsewhere in the world commonplace
and mostly ignored: our drone killings trump their targeted
assassinations; a divided Nicosia trumps Jerusalem; occupied islands off
Japan or Tibet trump the West Bank; a million ethnically cleansed Jews
from Arab capitals or 13 million Germans cleansed from Eastern Europe
trump the Arab flight from Palestine. For a displaced German now to
speak of a right of return to “Danzig” is creepy; for a Palestinian to
demand residence in Haifa after a similar seven decades of absence is
appropriate.
4. The US Can Solve the Muslim World’s Problems
I supported the war in Iraq as a way of getting rid of a long-term
enemy of the US, Saddam Hussein, in accordance with the 23 writs of
action approved by the US Congress. We did that, ended the 12-year
containment and no-fly-zones, and defeated a huge Islamist coalition
that flocked to Iraq to wage jihad. That said, Iraq is more stable than
Syria or Libya largely because a US presence baby-sat democratic change.
To the degree that Iraq will revert to the usual Arab paradigm
is probably contingent on the fact that the US refused to leave even a
small garrison and simply pulled out lock, stock, and barrel.
Elsewhere, I don’t think the Western intervention in Libya led to
much of an improvement over Gadhafi’s nightmarish dictatorship. Morsi
may make the kleptocratic Mubarak look good in another year. Take your
pick in Syria: the murderous security of the Assad secret police or the
murderous chaos of Islamist gangs. I am sure that there are Google execs
among all the dissidents, but I am also sure that none will come to
power — and most will soon flee their respective countries.
No one now is pressuring 8th-century Saudi Arabia to become a
21st-century “democratic” Egypt. Eastern Europe — warped by a
half-century of Soviet-imposed communism, torn by past wars between
Russia and Europe, with a baleful legacy of Ottoman occupation in the
southeast, and distant from the Renaissance, Reformation, and New World
exploration — was saved by its Western heritage and its incorporation
into Europe, at least for now. As far as the Muslim world, I see no such
heritage or possible like-minded interventions from the West. Perhaps
someday, globalization or Westernized oil-fed elites in the manner of a
Dubai may make a difference — or perhaps not.
In this regard, the Obama administration’s therapeutic approach (and deliberate media orchestrated delusion upon US citizens)
— jihad is a personal journey; Major Hasan committed workplace violence
and endangered the Army’s diversity program; terrorism is a man-caused
disaster; anti-terrorism is an overseas contingency operation; there is
no war on Islamic terror; trying KSM in a civilian court; loud talk of
shutting down Guantanamo; reading Miranda rights to terrorist suspects;
loudly inventing under appreciated Islamic discoveries and inventions —
is not just silly and embarrassing, but dangerous. The therapeutic
approach sends the message to the young terrorist that we are in some
way culpable for the violence that he intends to commit, that there may
not be dangerous repercussions to his terrorist acts, or that we do not
believe in the values of our culture as much as he does in his own.
5. We Are Largely Safe from Islamic Upheavals
While we are largely impotent in terms of modernizing the Arab and
larger Islamic world, and while many of its conflicts do not involve any
major US interests, I’m afraid we cannot simply wash our hands of
radical Islam. September 11 taught us that premodern killers can still
reach postmodern Westerners. Oil revenues will give Iran not just the
bomb, but in ten years the ability to rocket it to Europe and perhaps
the US. If there is to be a Persian nuke, there may well be soon an
Egyptian or Saudi one as well. Pakistan at any moment could lose its
warheads to al Qaedists. Rising Muslim populations in Europe — the
embryo of the Holocaust — are already changing its geo-politics. Over
forty terrorist plots have been uncovered in the US since 9/11. A
characteristic of radical Islam is nihilism, the morbid desire to
destroy all that it cannot create.
In short, we must continue our anti-terrorism vigilance,
maintain our military strength, speak honestly to the public, and seek
alliances with sympathetic nations who share our views about radical
Islam.
What Then?
More importantly, it is time to reassess our posture in the Muslim
world. Giving billions of dollars in aid to Mr. Morsi’s Egypt is unsustainable,
logically and morally. We should quietly chart a five-year plan to
reach zero aid, a cut-off that could be reassessed should Morsi prove a
reformer (fat chance). Ditto diminishing aid to Pakistan, and the
Palestinians. The key is not loud lecturing, but just a quiet yet steady twist of the spigot in the off direction.
If anti-Americanism earns US money (Pakistan and Palestine just polled
the most anti-American of all nations), then perhaps no US money might
earn a little pro-Americanism.
Our immigration policy in general is wrecked. But we should radically
reassess granting visas to those from non-democratic countries in the
Middle East. This hiatus need not be permanent, but again can send a
quiet message that there are wages to anti-Americanism.
Oil and natural gas self-sufficiency are now possible in a way
undreamed of just four years ago. In other words, there are now real
answers to our age-old worries: a stop to predicating our national
security on the Persian Gulf; an end to the Arab League holding our
foreign policy hostage; a stop to berating Israel and courting Hamas; a
curtailing of our disastrous imbalance of payments caused by importing
over-priced oil — as well as the possibility of exchanging coal for
clean-burning natural gas, creating millions of new jobs at home, and
earning revenues to help pay down the deficit. Not developing new wells
on public lands and canceling the Keystone pipeline are not just
mistaken, but mistaken to the degree of lunacy.
To the degree that the administration quietly kept in place most of
the Bush-Cheney anti-terrorism protocols that it had in campaign-mode so
opportunistically derided, and to the degree that its own loud new
initiatives either were shelved or faced a storm of opposition in
Congress, we have been kept safe for another four years. But if we believe any of the above five truisms, we won’t be for long.
No comments:
Post a Comment