Weekly Standard, 16/5
With Syrian presidential elections scheduled for June, the incumbent and shoo-in for reelection, Syrian president Bashar al-Assad, is campaigning on the promise that 2014 will be the year in which military operations in Syria end. However, the situation in northern Syria, exemplified by the conflict in the canton of Kobani, an area stretching from the Turkish border to south of Kobani city, and from Tell Abyad in the east to Jarabulus in the west, casts doubt on Assad’s optimism.
Kobani is under Kurdish control, but cuts into a larger
section of territory controlled by the Islamic State in Iraq and Syria, a
jihadist organization. ISIS aims to hold a clear, contiguous area
stretching from Syria’s border with Turkey into western Iraq, where it
controls territory in the provinces of Ninewah and Anbar. The existence
of the Kurdish canton of Kobani interferes with this plan, and since
March ISIS has launched daily attacks against positions held by the
Kurdish People’s Protection Units (YPG) at the edges of the enclave. The
Kobani situation offers a window into the Syrian conflict, a fragmented
reality where in large parts of the country the regime is little more
than a memory, and well-organized rival militias representing starkly
different political projects are clashing. Last month, I traveled to the
Kobani enclave, entering from the Turkish border with Kurdish
smugglers. The road was short but perilous—a sprint toward the border
fence in the dark and a rapid, fumbling climb over it.
Kobani was the first of three cantons established by the
Kurdish Democratic Union party (PYD) since the Assad regime withdrew
from much of northern Syria in the summer of 2012. There are two other
such enclaves: the much larger Jazeera canton to the east, which
stretches from the town of Ras al-Ain to the border with
Kurdish-controlled northern Iraq, and the smaller area around the city
of Afrin further west. In all three of these areas, the PYD has set up a
Kurdish-dominated autonomous administration. The intention of the Kurds
is to consolidate their independent government and eventually to unite
the three cantons.
In the meantime, however, the stark reality of siege
conditions in the Kobani canton was immediately apparent to me. The main
electricity supply had been cut off, with only intermittent power from
hastily rigged-up generators. The water supply, too, had been
interrupted, and the local Kurdish authorities were busy digging wells
in the hope of reaching natural springs located deep underground.
Yet for all this, life in the city functions in a way
closely resembling normality. The two hospitals in the city lack medical
equipment and medicines, but they are open. “We are improvising, we are
innovating, and we are not dying,” a doctor told me at Ayn al-Arab
hospital
in Kobani city. The school system is functioning, too, and in northern Syria at present these are no small achievements.
in Kobani city. The school system is functioning, too, and in northern Syria at present these are no small achievements.
The Kurdish enclaves are almost certainly the most
peaceful and best-governed areas in Syria. However, the Kurds are aware
of the precariousness of their achievement. Ali, a member of the Kurdish
Asayish paramilitary police, told me that “Assad doesn’t want to open
another front now. But if he finishes with the radical groups, then
he’ll come for us, inevitably.” In the meantime, as one PYD official
said, “We take a third line, neither with the regime nor with the Free
Syrian Army. We hope in the future to unite all the cantons. We accept a
role for the Arabs, so we don’t see a problem with this. And right now,
we have one goal—keeping out ISIS.”
The PYD’s “democratic autonomy” project in northern Syria
put it on a collision course with ISIS, which is trying to lay the basis
for an Islamic state run according to its own floridly brutal
interpretation of sharia law. The resulting conflict then is
not simply about territory, or who will rule northern Syria; it is also
about how this land will be ruled.
Mahmoud Musa, a Syrian political analyst and a refugee
from the town of Jisr al-Shughur, told me that “there are three serious
and well-organized forces in Syria today—the Assad regime, ISIS, and the
Kurds.” The last two regard themselves as at war with the regime. In
reality, the rival mini-states they have carved out of a fragmented
Syria are mainly in conflict with each other.
ISIS has emerged as one of the strangest and cruelest of
the many political-military movements now active in Syria. I spoke with a
young Kurdish man named Perwer who had spent a week in ISIS captivity.
He was arrested at the Jarabulus border crossing, while returning to
Syria from Istanbul. First detained by members of another Islamist unit,
the Tawhid Brigade, he was then handed over to ISIS and kept for five
days in one of the movement’s jails in Jarabulus town, just west of the
Kobani enclave.
Perwer related that a Kurdish man who had been caught
raising the YPG flag in a village near the border with the Kurdish
enclave was tortured to death. He also noted that among his fellow
prisoners were Arab residents of Jarabulus held for drinking wine. They
too were tortured. The Kurdish prisoners were regularly insulted and
called apostates by the ISIS guards, who came from a variety of
countries. Copies of the Koran were handed out to the Kurdish detainees,
and the days in their crowded cell were broken up by prayer sessions,
in which ISIS would seek to instruct their Muslim captives in what they
regard as the correct method of Muslim prayer.
ISIS’s mini-state reaches from the edges of Kobani to deep
inside western Iraq. I visited the frontlines on the eastern edge of
the Kobani enclave, where the positions of the YPG and ISIS push up
against each other. In Tell Abyad, the two sides are camped in abandoned
villages, where the ruined landscape has a slightly lunar quality.
Eyewitnesses told me that ISIS forced the villagers to leave when the
fighting began. Young fighters of the YPG moved carefully around their
positions in the abandoned village, ever mindful of the presence of ISIS
snipers. In places, the two sides are less than 500 meters apart. ISIS
favors mortar fire by night and sniping by day. This has taken a toll on
the male and female fighters of the YPG. Around 80 of them have died
since the fighting erupted in March. Many more ISIS men, however, have
been killed in their wild and uncoordinated attacks.
In Jarabulus on the western side, the frontline villages
are still inhabited. Some of the local Arab clans are backing ISIS. A
sort of de facto mini-transfer of populations has taken place in the
area, largely, though not solely, along ethnic lines. I met a couple of
Sunni Arabs among the ranks of the YPG fighters. There are also Kurdish
volunteers among the ISIS men, including some commanders. They hail
mainly from the villages of Iraqi Kurdistan, in particular from the
Halabja area. Yet these details aside, it is clear the main dynamic of
the conflict in this area is ethnic and sectarian, with Kurds faced off
against Sunni Arab Islamists. The attitude of the YPG fighters to their
ISIS enemies combines a certain contempt for their military prowess,
with a sort of fascinated horror at their savage practices.
“They outnumber us, often. But they lack tactics,” said
Surkhwi, a female fighter and the commander of the Kurdish fighters in
the village of Abduqli. “We think many of them take drugs before
entering combat, and they attack randomly, haphazardly. They desecrate
bodies of our fighters, cutting off heads, cutting off hands. They don’t
respect the laws of war,” Surkhwi told me. “We also know that ISIS look
at us women fighters as something not serious, because of their Islamic
ideology. They think that if they are killed by a woman, they won’t go
to paradise.”
The YPG fighters themselves, meanwhile, are clearly
experienced and well trained. While interviewing one YPG commander,
Nohalat Kobani, I had the chance to witness his troops in action. The
position in the village of Haj Ismail where we were conducting the
interview came under attack from small arms fire as we were talking. I
followed the YPG fighters as they raced to their positions to return
fire. The coordination and discipline were impressive. The YPG blasted
back at the ISIS position, 500 meters away, with rifles and a
medium-caliber machine gun. After a while, the shooting from the other
side stopped. Nohalat Kobani, a large, corpulent man and a veteran PYD
activist, was amused and unperturbed by the incident. We recommenced our
interview as soon as the shooting stopped.
I met two ISIS fighters in an apartment in Kilis in the
south of Turkey, two days after the skirmish at Haj Ismail. It was
strange to be sipping tea and smoking with men whose comrades had been
shooting at me a short time earlier. It was also fascinating to gain an
insight into the appeal that ISIS has managed to exercise over some
Syrians, and the way that the movement views the situation in northern
Syria.
Both men were Syrians. Abu Muhammad was clean-shaven and
wearing a black tracksuit. Abu Nur sported a short beard. I remarked to
my contact afterwards that I would never have taken them for Islamists.
He told me that ISIS men customarily shave their beards and adopt
western dress when entering Turkey from Syria, so as to avoid the
attention of the Turkish security services and police.
Abu Nur outlined his reasons for joining the organization.
He had been a member of the Northern Storm militia, a notoriously
corrupt non-Islamist militia group that had controlled the Bab
al-Salameh border crossing from Turkey. The incident that had compelled
him to leave Northern Storm and join ISIS, he said, was Senator John
McCain’s visit to Bab al-Salameh in the spring of 2013. Abu Nur
explained that he is suspicious of foreign governments using Syrians for
their own ends, so when fighting began between ISIS and Northern Storm
in his hometown of Azaz, he joined ISIS, which laid waste to his former
colleagues in the subsequent weeks. He had stayed with ISIS, he told me,
because it “imposes sharia, acts against criminals and robbers, and has no contact with any foreign government.”
When I asked Abu Muhammad about ISIS’s practice of cutting
off hands and heads as lawful punishments, he told me that “the media
have exaggerated this. In certain areas they cut hands off, in others
not,” he said. “We have tried our best to apply sharia law. Of course there have been some mistakes.”
ISIS has recently carried out a strategic retreat in parts
of northern Syria, which in some ways resembles the earlier
redeployment by the regime. In January of this year, under pressure from
other rebel brigades, ISIS began to withdraw its fighters from Idleb
and much of Aleppo provinces, concentrating them in its Raqqa stronghold
and further east. Abu Mohammed explained the reasons for ISIS’s
redeployment. “If there are powers against me, I have to retreat and
protect my back. And perhaps in the future I will return again.”
ISIS rules over large swaths of western Iraq’s Anbar and
Ninewah provinces, where its fighters are engaged in an insurgency
against the government of Nuri al-Maliki, who has been employing
sectarian tactics against the Sunnis. So there is a strategic logic to
ISIS contracting its forces and drawing down in northwest Syria. The
problem for the Kurds is that the Kobani enclave falls within the area
that ISIS still seeks to dominate.
Abu Muhammad expressed the matter clearly: “The YPG wants
to establish a Kurdish state. This is completely unacceptable. We want
the caliphate, something old and new, from the time of Mohammed. The
Europeans created false borders. We want to break these borders.”
Still, ISIS’s plan to destroy the Kobani canton is
unlikely to succeed. The Kurdish administration and its militia are
capable and well organized, and will continue to defend the enclave’s
borders with weapons and supplies smuggled from across the Turkish
border. There are veterans of the Kurdistan Workers’ party war against
Turkey advising the PYD on both civil and military matters. They appear
more than able to stave off ISIS, and to continue to develop the
institutions of their autonomy.
Bashar al-Assad may please himself with the farce of
elections, but the wars within wars, competing worldviews, and
irreconcilable projects, in northern Syria are testimony to the fact of
the country’s fragmentation. They reflect also the rapid change still
underway in the Middle East, as old ideas and regimes contract and fade,
and new contenders for power make war among the ruins.
No comments:
Post a Comment