Thursday, March 06, 2008

The Gaza disconnect

Douglas M. Bloomfield

Crossing into Gaza from Israel last Sunday were 62 truckloads of supplies, mostly food stuffs to help feed Palestinians; crossing overhead in the opposite direction were dozens of Kassam and Grad rockets intended to kill Israelis.
"Does no one notice the absurdity of Hamas sending rockets at Ashkelon to hit the power station that provides them with electricity and the hospital where Palestinian newborn are treated?" a former Israeli security official said in an interview this week. "Hamas can't keep firing missiles at us and then cry that we don't give them electricity, water and gasoline. They have to choose, and the world has to stop blaming us for the stupid decisions these people make."

The last Israelis left Gaza in mid-2005, and since then the strip, which some hoped would be a Palestinian self-government, has been a launching pad for thousands of rockets, mortars and other terror attacks.

What country in the world would tolerate such daily attacks, with their growing casualty lists, spreading property destruction and increasing missile range and payload?

Nowhere in the world, and probably never in history, has a country been under enemy bombardment and terror attacks and still expected to provide fuel, power, food and supplies for those seeking to destroy it.

Hamas, which took over Gaza in a bloody coup last summer, isn't just trying to kill Israelis. It also wants to kill the nascent peace process and to take control of the West Bank by bringing down the Fatah-led Palestinian Authority.

Hamas intensified its attacks in recent weeks, and Israel responded by adding ground incursions to air force strikes. The troops were temporarily pulled out on Monday while one of the facilitators of the Hamas takeover comes to visit.

"Hamas is hurting and needs a cease-fire badly; they're getting a lot of heat from the population. They know that if they continue shelling Sderot and Askhelon, a major operation will come," said an Israeli expert on Arab affairs. None of that translates into sympathy for Israel, but it could cost Hamas the next election.

"At the same time, they're under pressure from Syria and Iran, who supply the missiles and the training and the money, to keep up the attacks and those guys don't care how many Palestinians get killed."

Hamas stepped up its attacks. So did Israel. Prime Minister Ehud Olmert is resisting growing pressure to launch a full-scale military operation ‹ for now. There are plans for seizing parts of Gaza to clean out the rocket launchers and stick around to prevent a return, and Olmert would like to remove the Hamas government.

All of Israel's options are bad: accept the status quo of rockets and retaliation; launch a major invasion to seize large portions of Gaza at a cost of many casualties; or open negotiations with Hamas, which could lead to a cease-fire while allowing Hamas to rearm and focus on overthrowing Abbas on the West Bank.

The Israeli embargo on power and supplies to Gaza has been a predictable failure; widely condemned as collective punishment, it shifted the international focus away from the destruction caused by Hamas rockets by making the Palestinians and not the Israelis look like the real victims.

The United Nations and the European Union, with classic logic, attacked Israel for using "disproportionate force" ‹ they'd probably feel better if more Jews were dying ‹ but appear indifferent to the Palestinian use of Arafat tactics of hiding behind women and children by placing rocket launchers in residential areas and school yards.

The Palestinian Authority this week broke off peace negotiations as a protest against Israeli action in Gaza, although if Olmert succeeds in toppling Hamas, P.A. President Muhammad Abbas would be a big winner and wind up back in control of Gaza and stronger on the West Bank.

He "understands this," says Olmert, but instead of going to the negotiating table, Abbas is complaining to the United Nations about Israel's attacks on Hamas and told a Jordanian newspaper returning to "armed struggle" is still an option.

Little wonder Hamas thinks it is winning.

Douglas M. Bloomfield is a nationally syndicated columnist.

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