Top diplomats are warning that
Iran is capable of purifying its stockpile of 3.5% low enriched uranium
to 90% weapons grade levels in a matter of weeks, underscoring the
complications involved in trying to sufficiently check the country's
advanced nuclear program so as to render Tehran incapable of sneaking
across the nuclear finish line. Iran has spent much of the last
year installing more, and more sophisticated, centrifuges in its
nuclear enrichment facilities, and the U.S.-based ISIS think tank
has recently estimated that
Iran will be able to purify enough uranium, at a sufficient pace, to
conduct an undetectable breakout by the middle of next year. The Israel
Project held a
conference call on
the issue this morning with Dr. Olli Heinonen, a former Deputy Director
of the U.N.'s nuclear watchdog and currently a senior fellow at
Harvard's Kennedy School. Evaluating Iran's newly installed centrifuges,
Heinonen revised the ISIS estimate, declaring that "if certain
arrangements are done, [the breakout time] can even go down to two
weeks." Heinonen separately emphasized that Iran's stockpile of 3.5%
enriched material, which is farther away from weapons grade levels than
its 20% enriched material, nonetheless still puts the regime more than
half way toward what "you need to do in order to produce weapons-grade
uranium." Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu
had on Sunday outlined
how Iran's "technological improvements" now allow Tehran "to enrich
uranium from 3.5 percent to 90 percent in a number of weeks."
Netanyahu's assessment echoes that of U.S.-based analysts, and officials
from ISIS have
said as much to
Congress. U.S. lawmakers have called on Iran to dismantle its nuclear
program, as demanded by half a dozen U.N. resolutions, by among other
things exporting all of its enriched material out of the country and
halting enrichment activities. Iran for its part has insisted that it
will not give up its 3.5% low enriched uranium, and an Iranian MP this
weekend
also foreclosed concessions on Iran's underground military bunker - which has been converted into a uranium enrichment facility - at Fordow.
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