Barry Rubin On November 29, 2012
Twenty-four years ago, almost to the day, in 1988, I stood in a large
hall in Algeria and saw Yasir Arafat declare the independence of a
Palestinian state. It was forty-one years, almost to the day in 1947,
when the UN offered a Palestinian state. Twelve years ago Israel and the
United States officially offered a Palestinian state as part of a
compromise at deal in the Camp David summit of 2000.
Arguably, despite all their errors, the Palestinian movement has made
progress since those events, though it is not very impressive progress.
Yet in real terms there is no real Palestinian state; the movement is
more deeply divided than at any time in its history; and the people
aren’t doing very well.
Now the UN will probably give Palestine the status of a non-member
state. The only thing that will change is to convince people even more
that they are following a clever and successful strategy. They aren’t.
Perhaps in 24 or 41 years there will actually be a Palestinian state.
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