First Published: THE MACCABEAN - June 1998
The
following article was written by Professor Louis Rene Beres only a
month after the first Oslo Agreement in 1993. All one has to do is add
Obama and Iran to appropriate phrases. His Oslo prediction, after all,
has already come true.
Prof.
Louis Rene Beres (Ph.D., Princeton, 1971) is professor of Political
Science and International Law at Purdue University. He is the author of
many books, monographs, and articles dealing with Israeli security
matters, nuclear strategy and nuclear war. He is one of the military
analysts of the Freeman Center For Strategic Studies. More articles by
Prof. Beres:
The
following arresting article was written by Professor Louis Rene Beres
only a month after the first Oslo Agreement in 1993. Its persistent
truth, as Israel faces Iran and the growth of anti-Semitic anti-Zionism,
speaks for itself.
A
vulture was hacking at my feet. It had already torn my boots and
stockings to shreds, now it was hacking at the feet themselves. Again
and again it struck at them, then circled several times restlessly round
me, then returned to continue its work. A gentleman passed by, looked
on for a while, then asked me why I suffered the vulture.
"I'm
helpless," I said. "When it came and began to attack me, I of course
tried to drive it away, even to strangle it, but these animals are very
strong, it was about to spring at my face, but I preferred to sacrifice
my feet. Now they are almost torn to bits."
"Fancy letting yourself be tortured like this!" said the gentleman. "One shot and that's the end of the vulture."
"Really?" I said. "And would you do that?"
"With pleasure," said the gentleman, "I've only got to go home and get my gun. Could you wait another half hour?"
"I'm not sure about that," said I, and stood for a moment rigid with pain. Then I said: "Do try it in any case, please."
"Very well," said the gentleman, "I'll be as quick as I can."
During
this conversation the vulture had been calmly listening, letting its
eye rove between me and the gentleman. Now I realized that it had
understood everything; it took wing, leaned far back to gain impetus,
and then, like a javelin thrower, thrust its beak through my mouth, deep
into me. Falling back, I was relieved to feel him drowning
irretrievably in my blood, which was filling every depth, flooding every
shore. Franz Kafka, The Vulture
Even
by the standards of Kafka's uncannily prophetic insights, the parable
of the Vulture is remarkable. Examined as a lesson for Israel in its
protracted struggle for survival in the Middle East, this cautionary
tale is right on the mark. Indeed, it reads as if it were written
originally with no other struggle in mind.
Consider
the scenario. A man is being destroyed, slowly and painfully, by a
fierce and predatory bird. Repeatedly, the bird hacks at its victim,
immobilizing him systematically and purposefully, piece by piece. The
man, of course, has not allowed this process of sequential dismemberment
to proceed without defensive reaction. Fearing, above all, for his
face, for his very being, he has preferred to "sacrifice my feet."
Rather
than confront his enemy head on, frontally, with some hope of emerging
victorious, he has calculated instead, quite rationally he maintains,
the cost-effectiveness of appeasement. In the end, his rational
calculations prove altogether erroneous. It is true that our victim does
draw some satisfaction from the final mutuality of death - the vulture
drowns "irretrievably" in the man's own blood - but it is a satisfaction
that is necessarily short-lived.
There
is more. Before the dreadful demise of both victim and victimizer, a
"gentleman" promises aid to the former. The gentleman needs only to
return with his "gun;" the man needs only to "wait another half hour."
All
the while, the vulture, not merely a beast animated by instinct,
"understands" the plan against it, and decides, again after "calm" and
careful calculation, to launch decisive thrusts. So what if they turn
out to be more carnivorous frenzies?
It
is now too late to stop the hacking. Events have achieved an
unstoppable momentum of their own. What must be done must be done.
The
"gentleman," of course, never returns. Like the vacant American
President Clinton [read Obama, ed.], who now urges Israel onward with a
delusionary "peace process," he has other, more urgent, preoccupations.
The problem with his promises is not that he is necessarily deceitful or
mean spirited (he is, after all, a "gentleman"), but that he is
interested only in himself.
For
too many years, the "vulture" has been hacking away at Israel. From its
fragile beginnings, Israel has been heeding one "gentleman" or another.
Although the United States has hardly urged the Jewish State to deal
with its painfully progressive decomposition by explicitly recognizing
the advantages of firing "one shot," the implicit promise is always
present: "Negotiate, compromise, yield, beg; there is really no risk
involved. There is always the last resort of overwhelming military
power."
This
promise, whether it refers to American or to Israeli forces, or to
both, is of little or no value. Taken too seriously, it will likely lead
Israel toward one form or another of the "Samson Option." While enemies
of the Jewish State will "drown irretrievably" in the full fury of
Israel's most terrible weapons - in the unspeakable lifeblood of a
victim that has waited for too long to ensure its survival - this fate
will occasion no celebrations in what is left of Jewish Jerusalem.
Faced
with the end of the Third Temple Commonwealth, Israel's leaders will
curse their enemies and their "gentleman," but it will be an
indecipherable curse, a curse heard by no one.
It
will emerge, of course, that this Oslo "peace process" is an oxymoron, a
paradoxical conjunction of terms that could seal the fate of an
imperiled ministate - one smaller than some counties in California. For
Israel, a long-suffering and increasingly directionless victim, the
process may lead to complete and irreversible helplessness.
Sacrificing
more and more essential security in the hope that predators will be
satisfied, it will learn too late - unless Kafka's revealing parable is
understood by the endangered People of Israel - that the lure of carrion
only inflames the vulture.
In
an unspeakable irony genuinely savored by the insatiable vulture,
Israel could even become the Final Solution to the Jewish Question.
============
LOUIS
RENE BERES (Ph.D., Princeton, 1971) is Professor of Political Science
and International Law at Purdue University. Prof. Beres is the academic
advisor?to the Freeman Center For Strategic Studies.
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