Speaking
to the Knesset’s Foreign Affairs and Defense Committee on Wednesday,
Strategic Affairs Minister Yuval Steinitz explained Israel’s concerns
about the nuclear negotiations with Iran in Geneva. “We’re worried
Geneva 2013 will end up like Munich 1938.”
Well,
the time for worrying has passed. The statements from the Obama
administration and the EU following the closing of the first round of
talks all made clear that Geneva 2013 is Munich 1938.
The
White House was unable to restrain its excitement at the prospect of a
deal with the genocidal, nuclear weapons-developing mullocracy.
White
House spokesman Jay Carney said, “The Iranian proposal was a new
proposal with a level of seriousness and substance that we had not seen
before.”
EU
foreign policy chief Catherine Ashton, who led the six-power delegation
that faced the Iranians, said that the talks were “the most detailed we
have ever had, by a long way.”
Ashton
also said that she is committed to making concessions to Iran as
quickly as possible. In her words, “When we have been talking and in our
discussions in these last days we know that we have to look for a first
step, a confidencebuilding step, and we know we have to be clear about
the last steps and to do that in the context of the objective overall.”
The
stunning talks even included a one-on-one discussion between the chief
US negotiator Undersecretary of State Wendy Sherman and the Iranians.
The
only problem with all these exciting developments is that all the
“serious Iranian proposals” would result in the same outcome: a
nuclear-armed Iran.
There was nothing in the Iranian proposals that could
give anyone any reason whatsoever to believe that Iran is serious about
stopping its nuclear weapons development program. Indeed, the only
thing we learned this week is that like the Allied powers in 1938, the
Obama administration and the Europeans have no stomach for a
confrontation and are willing to dress up appeasement of a dangerous foe
as “peace” and “progress.”
The Iranians have given no indication that they would be willing to suspend all uranium enrichment.
In
his press conference after the current round of talks ended, Iranian
Foreign Minister Javad Zarif insisted that Iran has the right to
continue enriching uranium. The Iranian offer appears to involve
suspending its 20 percent uranium enrichment activities and sufficing
with enriching uranium to 3.5%.
As everyone from US Sen. Mark
Kirk to the Washington Post editorial board to US President Barack
Obama’s former chief pointman on Iran’s nuclear program Gary Samore have
stated over the past several days, given Iran’s current enrichment
capabilities, Iran’s offer is meaningless.
Over the past year,
Iran has installed a thousand sophisticated centrifuges at its nuclear
installation at Natanz. These new centrifuges allow Iran to transform
3.5% enriched uranium to bomb-grade material (enriched to 90%) as
quickly as its old centrifuges were capable of transforming 20% enriched
uranium to weapons-grade levels. So today, 3.5% enrichment is as
comfortable a jumping-off point for the Iranian weapons program as 20%
enrichment was a few years ago. Iran’s “serious proposal” is a joke.
As
Samore told The New York Times, “Ending production of 20% enriched
uranium is not sufficient to prevent breakout, because Iran can produce
nuclear weapons using low-enriched uranium and a large number of
centrifuge machines.”
In a conference call with the Israel
Project Wednesday, Samore explained, “What they’re offering is really no
different than what we’ve heard from the previous government, from
[Mahmoud] Ahmadinejad’s government for the last couple of years.... They
continue to reject any physical limits on their enrichment capacity –
meaning the number and type of centrifuge machines, the stockpile of
enriched material that they have in country. And as far as I can tell,
they have continued to reject closing any of their nuclear facilities...
I haven’t heard of any agreement to halt work or to modify the heavy
water research reactor that they’re building, and which may be close to
operational.”
So the Iranians offered nothing this week that they
didn’t offer in the past. And as a senior administration official told
the Times, the Iranian program is already so advanced that for there to
be time to negotiate a comprehensive agreement, Iran needs to first take
steps to halt or even reverse its nuclear program.
And as Samore
explained, none of the reports on the conclusion of this week’s round
of talks indicated any Iranian willingness to take such actions.
The
negotiations in Geneva bear an unsettling resemblance to the
negotiations the West held with North Korea as it developed nuclear
weapons. There, too, Western negotiators bragged about new, serious and
unprecedented North Korean “concessions.”
Pyongyang used the talks to undermine Western resolve to block its nuclear progress.
Just
as happened with North Korea, so with Iran, the appeasement-crazed
press will bring us endless stories about new, serious negotiations
documents that will “ensure the peace.”
The last of the stories will be published the day Iran tests its first atomic bomb.
Since
the Iranians are making the same unserious offers they have been making
for years, why are the Americans and the Europeans hailing the talks as
a new beginning? Why is Ashton talking about confidence-building
measures? Why are American commentators and senators talking about
various steps the US could take to appease Iran? By midweek, talk was
rife in Washington about the prospect of unfreezing some of the $50
billion Iranian funds that have been held in escrow in Western banks.
Doing so, we were told, would reward the Iranians for being so
“serious,” but it wouldn’t involve directly unraveling the sanctions
regime.
All of this is happening because the American and
Europeans have changed their game. The only serious development of this
week is the revelation of their new game.
The Iranians remain
committed to developing nuclear weapons. But the US and Europe have
stopped even paying lip service to stopping them. Instead, the US and
Europe aim to destroy domestic Western opposition to Iran’s nuclear
program. This is the new American/European game plan. This is what
stands behind all the nonsensical talk of “serious” Iranian proposals.
Before
his reelection, Obama felt constrained to pretend that he was serious
about preventing Iran from developing nuclear weapons. He opposed but
then grudgingly signed comprehensive sanctions passed overwhelmingly by
both houses of Congress. He told AIPAC that he had Israel’s back.
But
now that he’s no longer facing reelection, the jig is up. Obama’s new
goal, which is enthusiastically supported by Ashton and her comrades in
Brussels, is to use the new negotiations with Iran’s phony baloney
“moderate” new president to give himself political cover to open the
door to Iran acquiring nuclear bombs. Obama doesn’t want to prevent Iran
from getting the bomb. He wants to insulate himself from criticism when
it gets the bomb.
Not only do the White House’s lies about
Iran’s new “level of seriousness” give Obama the maneuver room to
pretend he’s acting responsibly, they trap Israel into inaction. After
all, how could Israel possibly bomb Iran’s nuclear installations when
Iran is negotiating so seriously, and is “this close” to making a
groundbreaking agreement?
We shouldn’t be surprised by this state of affairs. Obama has never acted in good faith with Israel.
Take the latest news on Turkey, for example.
On
Thursday, Washington Post columnist David Ignatius reported that last
year NATO member Turkey gave Iranian intelligence the identities of up
to 10 Iranian agents working for the Mossad after they met with their
Israeli case officers in Turkey. Turkey’s action was a shocking betrayal
of what was supposed to be a goal it shared with Israel and the US –
preventing Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons. Turkey willfully harmed
Israeli efforts to achieve this goal by turning in 10 Israeli agents.
Rather
than taking action against Turkey, or simply acknowledging that the
actions of Prime Minister Recep Erdogan represented a fundamental shift
in Turkey’s strategic outlook, Obama shrugged off Turkey’s betrayal. The
US didn’t even protest Turkey’s despicable deed. Instead, as Ignatius
noted, “Turkish-American relations continued warming last year to the
point that Erdogan was among Obama’s key confidants.”
A few
months after Turkey colluded with Iran against Israel, Obama coerced
Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu into apologizing to Erdogan for
Israel’s lawful maritime interdiction of the Mavi Marmara as it
unlawfully sought to breach Israel’s blockade of the Hamas-controlled
Gaza coastline.
No doubt, in making this concession Netanyahu
believed that he would win Obama’s goodwill. In a similar fashion, in
the hope of appeasing Obama, Netanyahu has made concession after
concession to the Palestinians – from drastically downgrading Jewish
property rights in Judea, Samaria and Jerusalem to releasing Palestinian
murderers from prison.
Yet in all of these cases, Obama has pocketed Israel’s concessions and demanded more concessions.
In
all these cases, Obama’s allies have used the concessions to present a
picture of Israel as both an ungrateful and unhelpful ally, and as a
weakling. And in the meantime, Obama has facilitated EU sanctions
against Israel. He has leaked top secret Israeli intelligence operations
to the media. He has repeatedly threatened to abandon Israel at the UN
Security Council. He has supported the Muslim Brotherhood in Egypt.
And now he is involved in negotiations with Iran that will necessarily lead to Iran’s emergence as a nuclear power.
From
Netanyahu’s repeated declarations that Israel will not allow Iran to
acquire nuclear weapons, it is unclear whether he realizes what is going
on. More than anything else, those statements represent an attempt to
negotiate with Obama. Netanyahu is still trying to win Obama over.
If
there was ever an argument to be made in favor of Netanyahu’s pleading,
their time is long past. In nothing else, the obscene diplomatic
theater in Geneva this week made that clear.
Israel is alone. We have no diplomatic option.
No
matter what Israel says, no matter what it does, neither the US nor any
other Western power is ever going to be convinced to take the only step
that would set back Iran’s nuclear program – bombing its nuclear
installations. No matter what, neither Obama nor any European leader
will ever support an Israeli military strike on Iran’s nuclear
installations.
Israel’s back is to the wall. That is the meaning
of the talks in Geneva. If we aren’t prepared to live with a
nuclear-armed Iran, we have to stop talking and start acting. And we
need to prepare for the diplomatic hell that will break loose
thereafter.
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