Friday, October 19, 2012

There is no consensus on contours of deal with Palestinians‏

Dr. Aaron Lerner Date: 18 October 2012-post date
 
+ Settlement blocs
+ Demilitarized state
+ Special status for Jerusalem “Holy Basin”
+ Limited return of refugees.
 
That’s what everyone agrees will ultimately happen.  There’s no real 
difference between the major parties and their leaders on this.
 
That’s the claim.
 
No real difference?
 
A world of difference.
 
#1. There are radically different views between the major parties regarding 
not only what is covered by the term “settlement blocs” and what communities 
beyond those “blocs” must remain under Israeli control under any final 
status arrangement.  Consider for example the Jewish presence in the Hebron 
area.
 
#2. It has been observed that the implementation and maintenance of the 
“demilitarization” envisioned by Netanyahu – combined with the access he 
requires to meet Israeli security needs describes a Palestinian “autonomy” 
rather than a sovereign state.  At the other end of the spectrum we have 
left wing Israeli politicians who for all practical purposes want to simply 
assume that the Palestinians will behave themselves (with verbiage about 
“security arrangements”  to mollify the unwashed masses who don’t share 
their take on the Arabs).
 
#3. Beyond ideological differences regarding Jerusalem simply because it is 
Jerusalem, the different Israeli camps have radically different views 
regarding the practical workability of the various “Holy Basin” schemes that 
have been proposed.
 
No.  There isn’t a consensus on the contours of a final status arrangement.
 
Is this relevant for the January 2013 elections?
 
Some are now arguing that it isn’t because nothing of substance relating to 
Israeli-Palestinian affairs is going to happen in the coming years.
 
Well, if there is one thing that we should have learned over the last years 
in this neighborhood it is the unpredictability of the region.
 
 
Dr. Aaron Lerner, Director IMRA (Independent Media Review & Analysis)
(Mail POB 982 Kfar Sava)

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