Charles Dharapak/Associated Press
The State of the Union address, Feb. 12, 2013.
And then some. All Americans are
reduced when Mr. Kerry, attempting to distinguish an attack on Syria
with the war in Iraq, described the former as "unbelievably small." Does
the secretary propose to stigmatize the use of chemical weapons by
bombarding Bashar Assad, evil tyrant, with popcorn? When did the
American way of war go from shock-and-awe to forewarn-and-irritate?
Americans are reduced, also, when an
off-the-cuff remark by Mr. Kerry becomes the basis of a Russian
diplomatic initiative—immediately seized by an Assad regime that knows a
sucker's game when it sees one—to hand over Syria's stocks of chemical
weapons to international control. So now we're supposed to embark on
months of negotiation, mediated by our friends the Russians, to get
Assad to relinquish a chemical arsenal he used to deny having, now
denies using, and will soon deny secretly maintaining?
One of the favorite Democratic attack lines against the Bush
administration was that it was "incompetent." Maybe so, but competence
is also a matter of comparison.
So let's compare. The administration will be lucky to win an
unbelievably thin congressional majority for its unbelievably small plan
of attack. By contrast, the October 2002 authorization for military
force in Iraq passed by an easy 77-23 margin in the Senate and a 296-133
margin in the House.
The administration also touts the support of 24 countries—Albania and
Honduras are on board!—who have signed a letter condemning Assad's use
of chemical weapons "in the strongest terms," though none of them,
except maybe France, are contemplating military action. Yet Mr. Bush
assembled a coalition of 40 countries who were willing to deploy troops
to Iraq—a coalition Mr. Kerry mocked as inadequate and illegitimate when
he ran for president in 2004.
Then there's the intel. In London the other day, Mr. Kerry invited
the public to examine the administration's evidence of Assad's use of
chemical weapons, posted on whitehouse.gov. The "dossier" consists of a
1,455-word document heavy on blanket assertions such as "we assess with
high confidence" and "we have a body of information," and "we have
identified one hundred videos."
By contrast, the Bush administration made a highly detailed case on
Iraqi WMD, including show-and-tells by Colin Powell at the Security
Council. It also relied on the testimony of U.N. inspectors like Hans
Blix, who reported in January 2003 that "there are strong indications
that Iraq produced more anthrax than it declared," that his inspectors
had found "indications that the [nerve agent VX] was weaponized," and
that Iraq had "circumvented the restrictions" on the import of missile
parts.
The case the Bush administration assembled on Iraqi WMD was far
stronger than what the Obama administration has offered on Syria. And
while I have few doubts that the case against Assad is solid, it
shouldn't shock Democrats that the White House's "trust us" approach
isn't winning converts. When you've spent years peddling the libel that
the Bush administration lied about Iraq, don't be shocked when your
goose gets cooked in the same foul sauce.
So what should President Obama say when he addresses the country
Tuesday night? He could start by apologizing to President Bush for years
of cheap slander. He won't. He could dispense with the talk of "global
norms" about chemical weapons and instead talk about the American
interest in punishing Assad. He might. He could give Americans a goal
worth fighting for: depose Assad, secure the chemical weapons, lead from
the front, and let Syrians sort out the rest. Well, let's hope.
In the meantime, Republicans should ponder what their own political
posturing on Syria might mean for the future. When a Republican
president, faced with a Democratic House, feels compelled to take action
against some other rogue regime, will they rue their past insistence on
congressional approval?
Write to bstephens@wsj.com
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