Sultan Knish
The disastrous results in Israel's election are yet another example of
the right cannibalizing itself. It's not the first time this happened in
Israeli political history or American political history or European
political history. It's an ongoing theme whose motto is still, "No
enemies to the left."
What the "mainstream" conservatives fear most of all is a drift to the
right. Some of this is the whimper of whipped dogs. Every party to the
right of Stalin has had to spend decades fending off accusations that it
was the second coming of the Third Reich, the KKK and Genghis Khan. The
Pavlovian training has taken hold and every conservative echelon is
expert at going into damage control mode when it senses that its own
right might do something that would give the left fuel for their
accusations.
But there's another factor at work here. It's cultural. Mainstream
conservatives have become another arm of the urban technocracy. They
want many of the same things that liberals do, but with less regulations
and more tax shelters. They aren't interested in major changes, only
the minor ones that will keep the system going. Even when they are
dedicated reformers, their vision extends no further than a bunch of
high tech cities full of immigrants going to universities and then
inventing things.
They are competent, rather than imaginative. The left repeatedly
outmaneuvers them because the left is always pushing to the left, while
they are content to put a chair against the door and wait for those
crazy hippies to get off the LSD, cut their hair and give up. But to
their surprise the left never does.
The leaders of mainstream conservatism aren't angry, and they dismiss
the people who are as loons. When the left does something oppressive or
defeats them, they don't get mad, they get ironically amused. They make
detached observations citing Trollope. They are as much a part of the
jet setting elite, as their liberal colleagues, and they have an exit
strategy, whether it's Singapore or Thailand.
They aren't liberals themselves, but their conservatism is an outmoded
thing that was only fit for a conservative society. In a conservative
society, they are the old guard. In a liberal society, they are still
the old guard, standing for the values of moderation, civility and not
getting too worked up about things that can't be changed. In a liberal
society, what they conserve is not conservatism, but the liberalism of
their youth.
The one thing that worries them is the ascendance of the right. They
don't much like their own base. It's angry, noisy and ignorant. It
doesn't understand the rules of the game. And it represents a threat to
their careers.
They may draw cartoons and sing a few songs, but they aren't
revolutionaries. They don't want a culture war. And they don't really
want to change the way things are. They may not approve of the politics
of their children, and they gasp in horror at debt ratios and proposals
to privatize things, but overall they like the way things are. And they
imagine that it can remain that way, hanging forever in mid-air, never
going further left or further right, a perfect balance that will endure
for all time.
They have a simple arrangement with the right. They pledge allegiance,
faintly, to its beliefs, mouth the right words during elections, promise
to ban abortion, build settlements and leave the EU, and then they
shake their heads ruefully and go back to the club regretting the
necessity for participating in this clown show. Between elections they
sometimes put their intellectual firepower at the disposal of these
ideas, though never when these ideas appear to be polling badly,
especially with the young.
In exchange the right, the real right, those angry people with quaint
ideas about personal freedom, moral revival and national greatness, are
expected to know their place. And their place is behind the sawhorses at
the rally and in line at the voting booth. When that changes, then they
attack their own right with far more vehemence and violence than they
ever employ against the left.
The left does not worry them all that much. In a way the left has become
their career. The opposition defines their work. Its radicalism ensures
that they will always have a base, no matter where that base comes
from.
There will always be victims of government regulation, baffled
casualties of the culture wars mourning their lost children and men and
women who woke up one day from their routine of work and parenting to
find out that the country had been stolen from them. There will always
be mugging and terror victims who suddenly begin thinking about the big
issues that they never really thought about before. And those people
will be their base, will sign their checks, buy their books and come to
hear them speak.
As long as the left does its work, the moderate conservative leaders
will always have a place, if not in the sun, than in the comfortable
shade. They have no real enemies to the left. Their enemies are to the
right.
The left can raise their taxes, make them jump through regulatory hoops
and turn their children into idiots. But the right can take away their
positions. The left turns them into dinosaurs every twenty years, but
the resurgence of the right can do that in two years. Their job, the job
they take on to protect their job, isn't to keep down the left, but to
keep down the right so that it doesn't embarrass them in front of the
left or break apart the comfortable conservatism that they have built
up.
A revolutionary right would not be conservative. It would be a
revolutionary movement that is less concerned with talking about how
much better things were X years ago and more concerned with forcing a
return to the way things were. It would not do this in the name of
conserving anything, because it recognizes that there is hardly anything
left to conserve, it would do this because it is natural and good, but
more so it would do it because it is the only way out of the long fall.
When such movements or figures emerge, often unready for the spotlight,
it is the mainstream leaders who gang up and destroy them. In liberal
societies where fighting the left is a dangerous sport, an activity
constrained by the image concerns imposed by media overlords and social
media meme mobs, right on right violence is the one safe sport. It is
where they can unleash their full range of attacks, destroying those
whose crime is the courage to seek real change, rather than their
idyllic urban technocracy of skyscrapers and dot coms.
When the bloody work is done, and the mainstream conservatives have
their scalp, a political figure whom they can use to prove that the
right is completely unready for mainstream politics and should leave the
hard business of running for office to the experts, then the experts
waddle out to the face the left, lose or break even, and then formulate a
plan for winning by going to the left.
It's a sad state of affairs that repeats itself time and time again. The
names changes, the issues change, but the battles remain the same.
While the left becomes radicalized, the right becomes marginalized. Even
when the moderate conservatives win, their triumph rests in managing a
system and a culture that serves the left, more than it does them. And
toward the end, they become what they have hated, drifting slowly into
liberalism, denouncing in angry fits of rage the resurgence of the
right.
Thus conservative movements and parties cannibalize themselves. The left
believes that there are no enemies to the left. And so do the leaders
of the right. And when they are through fighting each other, then often
the left wins by default.
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