Latest Israel Hayom poll finds Likud-Beytenu
at 35 seats and on upward trend • Labor in second at 17 seats • Habayit
Hayehudi remains at 14 seats • Tzipi Livni's Hatnuah falls to nine seats
• Poll gives right-wing bloc 66 seats and center-left bloc 54 seats.
Mati Tuchfeld
Ultimately, the voters will
decide with their gut. Pictured above, slips denoting each party.
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Photo credit: Yoav Ari Dudkevich |
As the Knesset election campaign enters its
final stretch, the political map appears to be stabilizing. According to
the latest Israel Hayom poll, with less than two weeks remaining before
the vote on Jan. 22, Likud-Beytenu is on an upward trend and will
receive 35 seats (in Israel Hayom's previous poll last week,
Likud-Beytenu was forecast to receive 34 seats).
Labor has also halted its downward slide.
According to the poll, Labor will receive 17 seats (compared to 16 in
last week's poll).
The poll was conducted by New Wave Research
for Israel Hayom on Jan. 8 and 9 among a random sample of 740
respondents from all sectors of the Israeli public from 18 years of age
and up. The statistical margin of error was plus or minus 3.6%.
Several parties saw their poll numbers stay
the same, including Habayit Hayehudi (14 seats), Shas (11 seats), Yesh
Atid (11 seats), Meretz (four seats) and Kadima (two seats).
The latest poll, like the previous one, found
that Strong Israel will not meet the electoral threshold. The poll also
forecast that Am Shalem (Whole Nation) will not receive any seats.
According to the latest poll, Hatnuah will get
nine seats, one less than in the previous poll. The past week saw
Hatnuah Chairwoman Tzipi Livni's failed effort to unify the parties in
the Center-Left bloc. Yesh Atid Chairman Yair Lapid and Labor Chairwoman
Shelly Yachimovich accused Livni of spin and claimed that her unity
attempt was based on Hatnuah's declining poll numbers.
The right-wing bloc, including the
ultra-Orthodox parties, polled at 66 seats while the Center-Left bloc,
including the Arab parties, polled at 54 seats.
In another piece of worrying data for Livni, she
finished for the first time behind Yachimovich on the question of who
was best suited to be prime minister. Some 38.8% of respondents said
that Netanyahu was best suited to be prime minister while Yachimovich
finished in second at 10.4%. Livni came in third at 10.1%.
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