Barry
Rubin, a Senior Fellow of FPRI, is director of the Global Research in
International Affairs (GLORIA) Center and editor of the Middle East
Review of International Affairs (MERIA) Journal. His books include The
Muslim Brotherhood: The Organization and Politics of a Global Islamist
Movement (Palgrave-Macmillan, 2010) and Islamic Fundamentalists in
Egyptian Politics (Palgrave-Macmillan, 2002). Other books include The
Long War for Freedom: The Arab Struggle for Democracy in the Middle East
(Wiley, 2005), The Truth About Syria (Palgrave-Macmillan, 2007); and
Israel: An
Introduction (Yale University Press, 2012). His articles are featured
at the website of the GLORIA Center and in his own blog, Rubin
Reports.________________________________________________
Today,
the Muslim Brotherhood is the most important international political
organization in the Arabic-speaking world. It is the dominant party in
Egypt’s parliament, having obtained about 47 percent of the vote there,
and in the Tunisian government, having received 40 percent of the
ballots. In the form of Hamas, now an explicit branch of the movement,
it rules the Gaza Strip.
It
is the leadership of the opposition in the Palestinian Authority (West
Bank) and in Jordan, while the local Brotherhood controls the
internationally recognized leadership (the Syrian National Council) of
the Syrian opposition in the civil war there. Much smaller
Brotherhood groups exist in several other Arab countries.
Yet
even that is not all. The Brotherhood has become the most important
group among Muslims in Europe and North America, too, often directing
communities and representing them in dealings with the government and
non-Muslim society as well. It should be stressed, however, that it is
a decentralized organization and there is no close coordination of the
branches in different countries.
What
is most important to understand about the Brotherhood is that, despite
its religion-based ideology, it should be viewed in political, not
theological
terms. It is and has always been a revolutionary organization seeking
to seize state power and then to transform thoroughly the
societies where it operates.
This
point does not imply any necessary opposition to democratic elections
or playing within parliamentary rules. After all, the Brotherhood ran
candidates for years in Egyptian elections under the Mubarak regime,
though it was not allowed to run as its own party, and has played
a parliamentary role for years in Jordan. In the Gaza Strip, however,
after it ran in Palestinian elections and won, Hamas seized power by
force. The Brotherhood’s most important
ideological advisor, the Egyptian but Qatar-based Yusuf al-Qaradawi,
has strongly endorsed electoral politics for almost a decade. In
response to al-Qaida, which rejected elections, al-Qaradawi said there
was no reason not to run candidates, especially since the Brotherhood
would win.
EARLY HISTORY
The
Muslim Brotherhood was founded in 1928 in Egypt by the schoolteacher
Hasan al-Banna. At that
time Islam was at a relative low point in affecting politics.
The direct inspiration for the new group was the abolition of the
caliphate, which had existed at least nominally since Islam began twelve
centuries earlier, by the new Turkish republic. For al-Banna and his
friends, Islam had to be restored to center-stage not only socially but
also politically.
At
that time, nationalism was in the ascendancy. With British help, during
World War One the Arab nationalists had revolted against the Ottoman
Turkish sultan-caliph, to whom they supposedly owed fealty in Islamic
terms. Arab countries had been formed that were tending
toward relative secularism. Islamists were a small minority, many of
them having been Arabs who had been on the losing side by continuing to
back Ottoman rule.
There
had been a number of leading thinkers in Egypt, notably Muhammad Abdu
and Rashid Ridda, who had argued that Islam was an important element in
the country’s national identity and development. They tended, however,
to favor a somewhat modernized Islam. The Brotherhood represented a more
conservative reaction against the changes taking place in Egypt and the
Arab world.
During
the 1920s and 1930s, the movement grew quickly, establishing branches
in other countries, notably Syria. It reached out to allies, most
importantly the grand mufti of Jerusalem, Hajj Amin al-Husaini, and
developed contacts as far away as the Indian subcontinent. But overall
it remained a relatively minor force in an Egyptian national life
dominated by the king and relatively liberal parties that sought a more
European-style system and worldview for the country.
A
key element in
the development of the Brotherhood was its admiration for and eventual
alliance with Nazi Germany. The Germans subsidized the Brotherhood
before and during World War Two. The height of their cooperation came in
1942. As German forces approached Egypt from the west, the Brotherhood
prepared an uprising and called for the massacre of the Jews
and Christians in the country. Large amounts of German-supplied arms
were hidden to be ready for the revolt. But the British defeat of
General Erwin Rommel’s forces and decisive British action in Cairo kept
the country under control.
After
1945, Egypt was in an unstable situation. The Brotherhood
organized a secret group for terrorist activities and also, in 1947,
volunteers to fight to turnall of Palestine into an Islamist state,
armed with the guns the Germans had provided five years earlier. One
of the soldiers was Yasir Arafat.
As
a revolutionary situation developed in Egypt, the monarchy closed down
the Brotherhood in December 1948, the Brotherhood assassinated Prime
Minister Mahmoud al-Nukrashi, and al-Banna was then killed, probably
by the government in retaliation.
Instead
of the Brotherhood, however, a radical nationalist group in the army
seized power, in 1952. The Brotherhood had worked with many of these
people in the anti-British, pro-German movement. But the officers, led
by Gamal Abdel Nasser, had no interest in sharing power or leaving such a
powerful rival intact.
After
a controversial alleged assassination attempt on Nasser in 1954, the
nationalists crushed the Brotherhood. Its leaders were arrested, sent to
concentration camps, and treated very harshly. Three years later, the
Syrian branch
faced similar treatment by Nasser’s counterparts there. Among the
prisoners in Egypt was Sayyid Qutb, an Islamist theorist who is
responsible for much of the basis of modern Islamism. He was executed in
1966.
From
the mid-1950s, the Brotherhood went underground and into exile. Drawing
on links with Saudi Arabia, which offered financing and safe haven, the
Brotherhood built an international structure. An infrastructure was
built in Europe, based in Germany and Switzerland, to help the movement
survive. Although this was not the intention, these operations would
prove invaluable in providing the Brotherhood a foothold that would,
decades later, help it take a leading role in the new Muslim
communities in Europe.
THE BROTHERHOOD REVIVED
After
Nasser died in 1970, his successor, Anwar al-Sadat, wanted to
strengthen his base against the left-wing faction in the regime that
opposed him. He released the Brotherhood leaders from jail and allowed
the movement to revive, albeit not officially. In return, the
Brotherhood promised not to engage in violence in Egypt, though
this did not keep them from continuing to support violence abroad.
Chastened
by their suffering, the Brotherhood’s leaders were very cautious. They
proclaimed that the current stage of politics was one of base-building
and recruiting (da’wa) but not of revolutionary actions. Still, the
revival of revolutionary Islamism thrust up new thinkers and activists
in Egypt who were impatient with the Brotherhood’s caution.
Such
people regularly left the Brotherhood to form smaller, more militant
and sometimes violent groups. These included the Jihad movement, which
assassinated Sadat in 1981 and whose surviving leaders eventually joined
al-Qaida. Other such groups engaged in community organizing. A
smaller group of relative moderates urged the Brotherhood to form the
Wahda party and give up its revolutionary goals. But the reformers were
stymied, eventually quit the Brotherhood, and became openly critical of
it.
Wrongly
concluding that a revolutionary
opportunity was present in the 1990s, the militant groups turned
to terrorism and for several years Egypt was wracked by violence, with
hundreds of people being killed. The Brotherhood stayed aloof and the
government repressed the insurgency.
Thus
the situation remained during the last two decades of the Mubarak
regime. In its main expression of goals, Brotherhood leaders circulated a
political platform in 2007 platform stating that under its rule, “Islam
is the official state religion and that the Islamic shari'a is the main
source for legislation.” This would be compatible with democracy since
this program “will be
implemented in a manner that conforms to the [will of the] nation,
by means of a parliamentary majority elected in free, clean, and
transparent [elections].”
However,
a Supreme Council of Clerics would be established to determine what
laws are acceptable. While promising to protect non-Muslim citizens in
their practice of religion, the state would be “ensuring that no ritual,
propaganda, or pilgrimage contradicting Islamic activities are
carried out,” which could be interpreted, for example, to forbid the
construction or repair of churches among other things.
The
Brotherhood functioned effectively but without full legal sanction. It
did well in various professional associations, generally ruling the
doctors’, lawyers’, and other organizations. On several occasions it
joined with other parties to run candidates under their
partner’s auspices but was denied their full vote total. The Brotherhood
even had members of parliament, though they were elected on the lists
of other parties.
Abroad,
the
Brotherhood advocated anti-Americanism, violence against the United
States as well as terrorism against Israel; that country’s extinction;
and anti-Semitism, proclaiming that Jews were innately evil and the
enemies of Islam.
The
Syrian branch of the Brotherhood tried a revolt in 1982 which was
suppressed by the regime there with heavy casualties. Its leaders fled
to Europe. Brotherhood groups in Lebanon, Iraq, and other countries
remained small. In Jordan, however, the branch grew, forming an Islamic
Salvation Front to contest elections. While it did well in the
balloting, this group was not allowed by the monarchy—which
manipulated the rules and results—to win and form a government.
The
big area of expansion, however, was in the West. As Muslim immigrants
moved to Europe and North America, the Brotherhood was the only
international Arab organization that was ready with a strong
infrastructure, a clear ideology, and ample financing. In country
after country it seized the leading positions even though it only
enjoyed direct support from a tiny minority of the communities.
In
the Gaza Strip, Hamas appeared from the small Brotherhood branch but
was nominally independent. It generally, but not always, cooperated with
the PLO, gradually increasing its attacks on Israeli civilians. Hamas
rejected Arafat’s decision to enter into negotiations with Israel in
1993 but used the Palestinian Authority to build its own base. In 2000,
it allied again with Arafat in another insurgency against Israel.
After winning elections, it made a deal with the Fatah nationalists but
quickly broke it and launched a coup which seized the Gaza Strip in
2007. In 2011, following Egypt’s revolution, Hamas formally joined the
Muslim Brotherhood.
REVOLUTIONARY STRATEGY IN THE “ARAB SPRING”
In
the fall of 2010 the Egyptian Brotherhood’s new leader, Muhammad
al-Badi, made a dramatic speech changing the organization’s course and
initiating a new revolutionary phase. The improvement and change that
the [Muslim] nation seeks can only be attained through jihad and
sacrifice and by raising a jihadi generation that pursues death just as
the enemies pursue life."
According
to his analysis, the moment to strike had come because the United
States was weak and in retreat ("experiencing the beginning of its end
and is heading towards its demise"); Islamist groups had been
defeating Israel; and the Mubarak regime—its leader ailing and
his choice of son as successor extremely unpopular—was near collapse.
One reason for that decline, al-Badi claimed, was that it had not
fulfilled “Allah's commandment to wage jihad…so that Allah's word will
reign supreme” over all non-Muslims.
The
following February, liberal-radical groups with which the Brotherhood
had been cooperating launched massive demonstrations centered in Tahrir
Square. Aware that a high profile would make it subject to
government repression and wanting to see if the movement
succeeded before committing itself, the Brotherhood held aloof for a few
days. Then, with the movement gaining momentum, it shifted to full
participation.
In
Tunisia, which also had an army-assisted revolution, the Brotherhood
branch gained 40 percent of the vote in the subsequent elections and
took the leading role
in forming the government. It was constrained, however, by the need to
form a coalition with secular parties.
Once
Mubarak had been forced out of power by the army in Egypt, the
Brotherhood emerged into the light. In February 2011, a huge
demonstration headlined by the Brotherhood’s most influential
ideologist, Yusuf al-Qaradawi, called out an estimated one million plus
people in Cairo, dwarfing the liberals’ events. From that point on, the
Brotherhood took the lead in the revolution.
The Brotherhood had to make three difficult strategic decisions:
--How
bold should it be in seeking power? The Brotherhood had already decided
to participate fully in elections, as it had done before under Mubarak,
but at first it insisted that it would only run candidates
for one-third of the parliamentary seats. Over the ensuing months, this
was raised to one-half and finally to all of the seats. In the 2012
elections for the lower house of parliament it would gain 47 percent.
Similarly,
the Brotherhood repeatedly stated that it would not run a presidential
candidate but preferred to back a liberal or nationalist one. Rejecting
this policy, a leading Brotherhood official and reputedly a
relative moderate, Abdul Moneim Aboul Fotouh, declared his candidacy and
was expelled. In the May 2012 first round, the Brotherhood’s Muhammad
Mursi came in first with more than 25 percent of the vote while Fotouh
ran fourth with 19 percent.
--Who
should it identify as its main allies and enemies in Egyptian politics?
The Brotherhood at times worked on making a deal with the military
junta while at other times cooperated with liberal and radical secular
groups against the transitional military regime. In the end, it was able
to maintain decent relations with both.
--How
radical or moderate should it appear to be? The Brotherhood undertook a
carefully coordinated charm offensive to persuade the West that it was
now moderate. For example, its English-language blog highlighted
such statements and omitted the positions taken by the Brotherhood in
Arabic.
Many
observers in the West—including government officials, academics, and
journalists—argued that the Brotherhood had become moderate. They
particularly cited personal contacts with Brotherhood leaders or
activists; the organization’s alleged rejection of violence; and
its participation in elections. It was also argued that participation in
elections and in governance would inevitably moderate the Brotherhood.
A
serious problem with this thesis, however, was when the Brotherhood
adopted an extremely radical stance during the presidential elections,
calling for a Sharia state and the restoration of the Caliphate. By
then, many of those who had previously proclaimed the Brotherhood’s
moderation transferred the label of “moderate Islamist” to Fotouh.
There
were certainly those in Egypt for whom the Brotherhood was deemed
insufficiently militant. Such groups, mostly descended from the 1990s’
dissidents, were collectively called Salafists. The most extreme engaged
in violent attacks on churches and the
Israeli embassy. Some, particularly in the Sinai, began assaults on
police stations to obtain arms and repeatedly sabotaged the natural gas
pipeline to Israel, forcing it to be closed down.
While
the Salafists gained about 25 percent in the parliamentary elections,
their candidate was barred from the presidential elections on a
technicality. Some of the Salafist groups endorsed Fotouh. It was not
clear whether the Salafists would be able to work with the Brotherhood
in the future, due to differences in tactics and rivalry for power,
although their basic goals were quite similar.
The
great change in the Brotherhood’s fortunes made it clear that the group
would play a leading role in the governance of Egypt and possible that
it would be the governing power. More broadly, the Egyptian
Brotherhood, using the state to whatever extent, had placed itself
at the head of a Sunni Islamist bloc including Hamas, which governed in
the Gaza Strip; the Tunisian government; the Syrian branch, which was
playing a leading role in the civil war there; and the Jordanian branch,
along with smaller groups in Libya, Lebanon, and elsewhere.
With
its leading role in many Muslim communities in Europe and North
America, the Brotherhood has emerged as a considerable international
force. Clearly the leading Sunni Islamist group in the world, it is
arguably the most important revolutionary organization in the world as
well.
Suggested Readings:
John Calvert, Sayyid Qutb and the Origins of Radical Islamism (Columbia University Press, 2010)
Steven A. Cook, The Struggle for Egypt (Oxford University Press, 2011)
Richard Mitchell, The Society of the Muslim Brothers (Oxford University Press, 1993)
Yvette Talhamy, "The Muslim Brotherhood Reborn," Middle East Quarterly, 19:2 (2012)
Eric
Trager, “The Unbreakable Muslim Brotherhood: Grim Prospects for a
Liberal Egypt,” Foreign Affairs, September-October 2011, Vol. 90, No. 3
Lorenzo Vidino, The New Muslim Brotherhood in the West (Columbia University Press, 2010)
Itzchak
Weismann "The Politics of Popular Religion—Sufis, Salafis and Muslim
Brothers in 20th Century Hamah," International Journal of Middle East
Studies, 37:1 (2005)
Quintan
Wiktorowicz, The Management of Islamic Activism: Salafis, the Muslim
Brotherhood, and State Power in Jordan (SUNY Press, 2000)
Professor Barry Rubin, Director, Global Research in International Affairs (GLORIA) Center http://www.gloria-center.org
The Rubin Report blog http://rubinreports.blogspot.com/
He is a featured columnist at PJM http://pajamasmedia.com/barryrubin/.
Editor, Middle East Review of International Affairs (MERIA) Journal http://www.gloria-center.org
Editor Turkish Studies,http://www.informaworld.com/smpp/title~db=all~content=t713636933%22
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