By
now it's clear that President Barack Obama isn’t going to visit Israel
in his term of office. And yet that’s pretty curious, isn’t it? After
all, American politicians who seek Jewish support usually find a trip to
Israel a pretty good way to claim pro-Israel credentials. And Obama has
been desperate to do so, especially this year.
Why, then, isn’t Obama going to visit Israel? Of course, we cannot definitively answer that question but here are some thoughts:
--His
personal distaste for Israel is so
great that he doesn’t want to come here. Of course, he did do so once
as a senator but now Obama may feel he can give freer rein to his
feelings. While it is silly to say that Obama hates Israel and wants to
destroy it, if you believe that he has a single warm feeling toward the
Jewish state I have a bridge in Brooklyn you might want to buy.
Certainly, Obama has an extreme personal dislike for Prime Minister
Benjamin Netanyahu--as he revealed to a microphone he didn't know was on
when meeting with French President Sarkozy. And while some of Obama's
best friends were Jewish they were also anti-Israel or, at best, in the
we-know-better-than-those-dumb-Israelis camp.
--He
fears being booed and rejected by Israelis. Let’s be clear, Israelis
can behave like star-struck provincials ogling celebrities. There would
be a certain amount of drooling worship of that type. Still, Obama is
very unpopular here, too. There could be some nasty scenes of booing and
anti-Obama signs that might persuade American Jews that all is not
well.
--A
visit to Israel is counter to Obama’s effort to distance himself from
Israel and act as if he’s the buddy of Muslims, especially those who
hate Israel. Of course he could go to Egypt, Turkey, Saudi Arabia, and
Iraq again since he’s been to all of those places.
For
the last forty years American presidents have stood with Israel and
urged Arab states to make peace with that country. Think of President
Bill Clinton, for example. Their policies have been based on the
principle that the United States can have excellent relations with both
sides. And guess what? That policy worked as well as was possible. The
radical Arabs would have opposed America under any conditions; the
moderates worked closely with Washington. But no matter how much lip
service Obama gives such a strategy--most of the time in front of Jewish
groups--this is not Obama's approach.
Of
course, on such a trip Obama could drop in on the Palestinian Authority
(PA) to show his passionate desire for a Palestinian state and love of
that people. Yet this might not be enough in his mind to counter the
cooties picked up in Israel that would supposedly horrify Muslims and
Arabs. Moreover, it would be embarrassing to go and hang out with a PA
leadership that is now in partnership with Hamas.
--The
failure of his “peace process” policy to make any progress at all might
make him want to stay away from reminding people of that fact. If
anything, Obama set back Israel-Palestinian dealings. Obama cannot come
and take credit for some breakthrough.
I
suspect that all of the above reasons are factors in his staying away.
As with so many other subjects, it’s amazing that this issue is not
being discussed and analyzed at all
Barry
Rubin is director of the Global Research in International Affairs
(GLORIA) Center and editor of the Middle East Review of International
Affairs (MERIA) Journal. His book, Israel: An Introduction, has just
been published by Yale University Press. Other recent books include The
Israel-Arab Reader (seventh edition), The Long War for Freedom: The Arab
Struggle for Democracy in the Middle East (Wiley), and The Truth
About Syria (Palgrave-Macmillan). The website of the GLORIA Center and
of his blog, Rubin Reports. His original articles are published
at PJMedia.
Professor Barry Rubin, Director, Global Research in International Affairs (GLORIA) Center http://www.gloria-center.org
The Rubin Report blog http://rubinreports.blogspot.com/
He is a featured columnist at PJM http://pajamasmedia.com/barryrubin/.
Editor, Middle East Review of International Affairs (MERIA) Journal http://www.gloria-center.org
Editor Turkish Studies,http://www.informaworld.com/smpp/title~db=all~content=t713636933%22
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