By: Yori Yanover
Published: November 24th, 2013
The team that breathed new life into the declining Islamic Revolution:
President Barack Obama talking with Secretary of State John Kerry and
National Security Advisor Susan E. Rice, with Phil Gordon, White House
Coordinator for the Middle East, North Africa, and the Gulf Region,
left, looking on.
The team that breathed new life into the declining Islamic Revolution:
President Barack Obama talking with Secretary of State John Kerry and
National Security Advisor Susan E. Rice, with Phil Gordon, White House
Coordinator for the Middle East, North Africa, and the Gulf Region,
left, looking on.
Photo Credit: Official White House Photo by Pete Souza
Noah Pollak, Executive Director of the Emergency Committee for Israel,
emailed us this statement:
"The Geneva Agreement is a defeat for the United States and the West. It
fails to uphold even the minimum demand of repeated UN Security Council
resolutions that Iran must stop enriching uranium. For the next six
months, the centrifuges will not be dismantled and will continue to
spin, uranium will be enriched, the 20 percent enriched uranium will
stay in Iran, and a reactor designed to produce bomb-ready plutonium
will remain just months away from completion. Iran will continue its
march to nuclear weapons, with perhaps a brief pause in some parts of
the program -- but it will be a pause that refreshes, since Iran will be
rewarded right away with significant sanctions relief, with the
additional likelihood that the rest of the sanctions regime will begin
to crumble.
"Congress should make clear that it does not support this deal. Congress
should make clear that just because the Obama administration seems to
have taken all our options off the table, our allies need not follow us
down this futile path of accommodating the Iranian regime's nuclear
ambitions. In particular, Congress should make clear the United States
will support Israel if Israel decides she must act to prevent a regime
dedicated to her destruction from acquiring the means to do so."
To get a sense of how flawed is the deal signed on Saturday in Geneva
between the world powers and Iran don't go to the western press for
analysis – check out the Iranian version. Because, like it or not, the
outcome of this deal will be decided in Tehran, not in Washington DC.
Here's the Fars news agency's account, verbatim, of the Geneva deal:
"Iran and the Group signed a four-page agreement after five days of
difficult and intensive negotiations and more than a decade-long nuclear
standoff.
"One of the pages of the agreement signed in Geneva deals with the
easing and removal of the US-led western sanctions imposed against Iran.
"According to the deal, no further sanctions will be imposed against
Iran.
"Oil embargoes on the country will be halted. Iran’s crude sales will be
maintained at the current level and Iran’s oil revenues will also be
released.
"Sanctions on Iran’s petrochemical sector will be completely removed and
the sanctions on the country’s auto industry will also be lifted.
"Sanctions on exports of gold and precious stones and metals, as well as
the ban on the insurance of oil cargoes will be fully lifted.
"Iran’s right to enrichment has been recognized in two places of the
document.
"According to the agreement, the structure of Iran’s nuclear program
will be fully preserved. There is no turning back in Iran's uranium
enrichment activities.
"Fordo and Natanz (nuclear sites) will also continue operation.
"In return, Iran will reciprocate with a series of confidence-building
measures.
"Iran as a confidence-building measure will not further expand its
activities in Arak, Natanz and Fordo in the next six months, but
(uranium) enrichment below five percent and production of the relevant
enriched material in Fordo and Natanz will continue as before.
"Iran will also continue its research and development in its nuclear
program.
"According to the agreement, the 20 percent enrichment will not continue
in the next six months since Iran does not need any more 20-percent
enrichment. All the enriched uranium will remain inside Iran and no
material will be taken out from the country."
Permit me to summarize: No more oil embargo. No more sanctions. Iran’s
right to enrichment has been recognized.
For once, the semi-official Iranian news agency has issued an article
The Jewish Press can endorse unequivocally. They're definitely saying it
like it is.
Now the lies, most of which were delivered by President Obama yesterday,
and are collected in what the White House calls "a fact sheet."
According to the Administration, the deal "halts the progress of Iran's
nuclear program and rolls it back in key respects… The initial, six
month step includes significant limits on Iran's nuclear program and
begins to address our most urgent concerns including Iran's enrichment
capabilities; its existing stockpiles of enriched uranium; the number
and capabilities of its centrifuges; and its ability to produce
weapons-grade plutonium using the Arak reactor."
Except the Iran version says nothing about rolling back anything. It
also celebrates the fact that the 20% enriched uranium stays in the
country, and that the deal recognizes Iran's right to enrich in the
future. So, who's lying?
The White House says: "The concessions Iran has committed to make as
part of this first step will also provide us with increased transparency
and intrusive monitoring of its nuclear program. In the past, the
concern has been expressed that Iran will use negotiations to buy time
to advance their program. Taken together, these first step measures will
help prevent Iran from using the cover of negotiations to continue
advancing its nuclear program as we seek to negotiate a long-term,
comprehensive solution that addresses all of the international
community's concerns."
That last thing, the "long-term, comprehensive solution," that's never
going to happen. Here's what will happen: Iran will have a month or two
of dedicated adherence to every minute aspect of the agreement.
Meanwhile, Chinese, Russian, European and American corporations will be
drawn in, to usher an economic boom in Iran that country hasn't seen in
at least a decade. The State Dept. talk about $7 or $8 billion in a
combination of unfrozen Iranian assets and the removal of sanctions –
that's going to be more like $50 billion this summer. It's just the
nature of business.
After 2 months of excellent behavior, Iran will start cheating. Small.
Mistakes, really, more than cheating, human error. Inspectors would be
told at the last minute they can't come in, try again tomorrow. Elements
will be moved without notice, on account of how forgetful Iranians can
sometimes be. I'm not making this up, this was precisely the modus
operandi of the Iranian nuclear program under the guidance of Hassan
Rouhani.
In 2003, Iran's foreign minister Kamal Kharazi established a nuclear
team with Hassan Rouhani in charge, with special powers to formulate a
comprehensive plan for Iran's interactions with the International Atomic
Energy Agency (IAEA). Subsequently, negotiations between Iran and three
European states. Rouhani and his team based their efforts on dialogue
and confidence building. As a result, they prevented further escalation
of accusations against Iran, and blocked a report of Iran's nuclear case
to the United Nations Security Council. For the purpose of "confidence
building," parts of Iran's nuclear activities were voluntarily suspended
at several junctures.
In addition to building confidence, insisting on Iran's rights, reducing
international pressures and the possibility of war, and preventing
Iran's case from being reported to the UN Security Council, Iran
succeeded in completing its nuclear fuel cycle and took groundbreaking
steps to reach what many considered the point of no return in developing
a nuclear weapon.
Remember, Rouhani was successful in cheating the West and giving the
Iranian nuclear program breathing room to thrive—even as the GW Bush
Administration was preparing for the invasion of neighboring Iraq.
Rouhani showed he had nerves of steel then, coupled with a stunning
ability to charm his foes silly—he continues to possess the nerves of
steel and the winning smile. Kerry and the west don't stand a chance.
By the time the State Dept. is forced to admit, six months down the
road, if not earlier, that they made a terrible mistake, Iran will have
repaired the major crisis areas in its economy, and would remain as
close to making a bomb, if not closer.
I'm sure The Jewish Press will be offering a large variety of op-ed and
blog reports on the various details of the bad deal signed yesterday—but
we already know, without having to read the minute details, that the
game has moved into its next phase.
The only real question that remains unanswered for the time being is up
to Israel's prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu to answer: should Israel
act now to effectively halt the progress of Iran's deceptive nuclear
program, or should it wait until the world knows the Iranians have been
cheating all the way to the bank.
I honestly don't want to be in this brave man's shoes.
Read more at: http://www.jewishpress.com/news/breaking-news/rouhanis-iran-schooling-west-on-aggressive-diplomacy/2013/11/24/0/?print
Read more at: http://www.jewishpress.com/news/breaking-news/rouhanis-iran-schooling-west-on-aggressive-diplomacy/2013/11/24/0/?print
By: Yori Yanover Published: November 24th, 2013
The team
that breathed new life into the declining Islamic Revolution: President Barack
Obama talking with Secretary of State John Kerry and National Security Advisor
Susan E. Rice, with Phil Gordon, White House Coordinator for the Middle East,
North Africa, and the Gulf Region, left, looking on.
The team that breathed new
life into the declining Islamic Revolution: President Barack Obama talking with
Secretary of State John Kerry and National Security Advisor Susan E. Rice, with
Phil Gordon, White House Coordinator for the Middle East, North Africa, and the
Gulf Region, left, looking on. Photo Credit: Official White House Photo by Pete
Souza Noah Pollak, Executive Director of the Emergency Committee for Israel,
emailed us this statement: "The Geneva Agreement is a defeat for the
United States and the West. It fails to uphold even the minimum demand of
repeated UN Security Council resolutions that Iran must stop enriching uranium.
For the next six months, the centrifuges will not be dismantled and will
continue to spin, uranium will be enriched, the 20 percent enriched uranium
will stay in Iran, and a reactor designed to produce bomb-ready plutonium will
remain just months away from completion. Iran will continue its march to
nuclear weapons, with perhaps a brief pause in some parts of the program -- but
it will be a pause that refreshes, since Iran will be rewarded right away with
significant sanctions relief, with the additional likelihood that the rest of
the sanctions regime will begin to crumble.
"Congress should make clear
that it does not support this deal. Congress should make clear that just
because the Obama administration seems to have taken all our options off the
table, our allies need not follow us down this futile path of accommodating the
Iranian regime's nuclear ambitions. In particular, Congress should make clear
the United States will support Israel if Israel decides she must act to prevent
a regime dedicated to her destruction from acquiring the means to do so."
To get a sense of how flawed is the deal signed on Saturday in Geneva between
the world powers and Iran don't go to the western press for analysis – check
out the Iranian version. Because, like it or not, the outcome of this deal will
be decided in Tehran, not in Washington DC.
Here's the Fars news agency's
account, verbatim, of the Geneva deal:
"Iran and the Group signed a
four-page agreement after five days of difficult and intensive negotiations and
more than a decade-long nuclear standoff.
"One of the pages of the
agreement signed in Geneva deals with the easing and removal of the US-led
western sanctions imposed against Iran.
"According to the deal, no further
sanctions will be imposed against Iran.
"Oil embargoes on the country will
be halted. Iran’s crude sales will be maintained at the current level and Iran’s
oil revenues will also be released.
"Sanctions on Iran’s petrochemical
sector will be completely removed and the sanctions on the country’s auto
industry will also be lifted.
"Sanctions on exports of gold and precious
stones and metals, as well as the ban on the insurance of oil cargoes will be
fully lifted.
"Iran’s right to enrichment has been recognized in two
places of the document.
"According to the agreement, the structure of Iran’s
nuclear program will be fully preserved. There is no turning back in Iran's
uranium enrichment activities.
"Fordo and Natanz (nuclear sites) will also
continue operation.
"In return, Iran will reciprocate with a series of
confidence-building measures. "
Iran as a confidence-building measure will
not further expand its activities in Arak, Natanz and Fordo in the next six
months, but (uranium) enrichment below five percent and production of the relevant
enriched material in Fordo and Natanz will continue as before. "
Iran will
also continue its research and development in its nuclear program.
"According to the agreement, the 20 percent enrichment will not continue
in the next six months since Iran does not need any more 20-percent enrichment.
All the enriched uranium will remain inside Iran and no material will be taken
out from the country."
Permit me to summarize: No more oil embargo. No
more sanctions. Iran’s right to enrichment has been recognized.
For once, the
semi-official Iranian news agency has issued an article The Jewish Press can
endorse unequivocally. They're definitely saying it like it is.
Now the lies,
most of which were delivered by President Obama yesterday, and are collected in
what the White House calls "a fact sheet."
According to the
Administration, the deal "halts the progress of Iran's nuclear program and
rolls it back in key respects… The initial, six month step includes significant
limits on Iran's nuclear program and begins to address our most urgent concerns
including Iran's enrichment capabilities; its existing stockpiles of enriched
uranium; the number and capabilities of its centrifuges; and its ability to
produce weapons-grade plutonium using the Arak reactor."
Except the Iran
version says nothing about rolling back anything. It also celebrates the fact
that the 20% enriched uranium stays in the country, and that the deal
recognizes Iran's right to enrich in the future. So, who's lying?
The White
House says: "The concessions Iran has committed to make as part of this
first step will also provide us with increased transparency and intrusive
monitoring of its nuclear program. In the past, the concern has been expressed
that Iran will use negotiations to buy time to advance their program. Taken
together, these first step measures will help prevent Iran from using the cover
of negotiations to continue advancing its nuclear program as we seek to
negotiate a long-term, comprehensive solution that addresses all of the
international community's concerns."
That last thing, the "long-term,
comprehensive solution," that's never going to happen. Here's what will
happen: Iran will have a month or two of dedicated adherence to every minute
aspect of the agreement. Meanwhile, Chinese, Russian, European and American
corporations will be drawn in, to usher an economic boom in Iran that country
hasn't seen in at least a decade. The State Dept. talk about $7 or $8 billion
in a combination of unfrozen Iranian assets and the removal of sanctions –
that's going to be more like $50 billion this summer. It's just the nature of
business.
After 2 months of excellent behavior, Iran will start cheating.
Small. Mistakes, really, more than cheating, human error. Inspectors would be
told at the last minute they can't come in, try again tomorrow. Elements will
be moved without notice, on account of how forgetful Iranians can sometimes be.
I'm not making this up, this was precisely the modus operandi of the Iranian
nuclear program under the guidance of Hassan Rouhani.
In 2003, Iran's foreign
minister Kamal Kharazi established a nuclear team with Hassan Rouhani in
charge, with special powers to formulate a comprehensive plan for Iran's
interactions with the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA). Subsequently,
negotiations between Iran and three European states. Rouhani and his team based
their efforts on dialogue and confidence building. As a result, they prevented
further escalation of accusations against Iran, and blocked a report of Iran's
nuclear case to the United Nations Security Council. For the purpose of
"confidence building," parts of Iran's nuclear activities were
voluntarily suspended at several junctures.
In addition to building confidence,
insisting on Iran's rights, reducing international pressures and the
possibility of war, and preventing Iran's case from being reported to the UN
Security Council, Iran succeeded in completing its nuclear fuel cycle and took
groundbreaking steps to reach what many considered the point of no return in
developing a nuclear weapon.
Remember, Rouhani was successful in cheating the
West and giving the Iranian nuclear program breathing room to thrive—even as
the GW Bush Administration was preparing for the invasion of neighboring Iraq.
Rouhani showed he had nerves of steel then, coupled with a stunning ability to
charm his foes silly—he continues to possess the nerves of steel and the
winning smile. Kerry and the west don't stand a chance.
By the time the State
Dept. is forced to admit, six months down the road, if not earlier, that they
made a terrible mistake, Iran will have repaired the major crisis areas in its
economy, and would remain as close to making a bomb, if not closer.
I'm sure
The Jewish Press will be offering a large variety of op-ed and blog reports on
the various details of the bad deal signed yesterday—but we already know,
without having to read the minute details, that the game has moved into its
next phase. The only real question that remains unanswered for the time being
is up to Israel's prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu to answer: should Israel
act now to effectively halt the progress of Iran's deceptive nuclear program,
or should it wait until the world knows the Iranians have been cheating all the
way to the bank.
I honestly don't want to be in this brave man's shoes.
Read more at: http://www.jewishpress.com/news/breaking-news/rouhanis-iran-schooling-west-on-aggressive-diplomacy/2013/11/24/0/?print
Read more at: http://www.jewishpress.com/news/breaking-news/rouhanis-iran-schooling-west-on-aggressive-diplomacy/2013/11/24/0/?print
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