State
Department: Interim deal with Iran allows continued construction on
Iran plutonium facility Reports: Iran talks pushing Saudi Arabia to
acquire nuclear weapons
State Department: Interim deal with Iran not final, Iran currently allowed to continue nuclear activity
Amid Hezbollah diplomatic offensive, British sources reveal secret indirect U.S.-Hezbollah talks
Reports: Iran talks pushing Saudi Arabia to acquire nuclear weapons
What we’re watching today:
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The State Department acknowledged today that the recently announced agreement widely described as
freezing Iran's nuclear program in fact permits Tehran to continue
construction at its Arak complex, after overnight statements by Iranian
Foreign Minister Mohammed Javad Zarif committed the Islamic republic to
bolstering the plutonium facility during the agreement's six-month
interim period. Arak contains multiple facilities, including a
heavy water production facility and a facility for a heavy water reactor
that, once activated, would produce sufficient plutonium for between
one and two nuclear bombs per year. A fact sheet published last weekend by
the White House touting the Geneva deal insisted that "Iran has
committed to no further advances of its activities at Arak and to halt
progress on its plutonium track," and Reuters this morning noted that
Zarif's declaration came "despite an agreement with Western powers to
halt activity." State Department spokesperson Jen Psaki subsequently clarified that
the agreement actually permits certain categories of construction to
continue. Her clarification came two days after Reuters conveyed expert analysis describing
a "loophole" in the agreement, this one permitting Iran to build
components for the Arak's nuclear reactor as long as those components
weren't being physically made at the Arak facility itself. The
clarification plus the "loophole" means that Iran would be permitted
over the next six months to make progress both on its plutonium facility
and on creating the parts that would eventually go into its plutonium
reactor. The scenario may be difficult to reconcile with Western claims
that the Geneva negotiations achieved a freeze in Iran's nuclear
progress.
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The State Department
acknowledged yesterday that Iran currently has a window of time during
which it is allowed to continue its nuclear activity unrestrained by an
interim agreement announced last week in Geneva, with State Department
spokesperson Jen Psaki telling reporters that the six-month period during which the administration is precluding new sanctions had not yet begun.
Psaki explained that "the next step here is a continuation of technical
discussions at a working level so that we can essentially tee up the
implementation of the agreement," which she clarified further "would
involve the P5+1 – a commission of the P5+1 experts working with the
Iranians and the IAEA." She added that "once... those technical
discussions are worked through," then "I guess the clock would start."
She noted however that she did not "have a specific timeline" for how
long that process would take, which is to say how long Iran would
continue to be immune from new sanctions but permitted to continue
advancing what is widely believed to be its clandestine nuclear weapons
program. The Times of Israel tersely noted that
Psaki's comments "created confusion as to whether the much-touted
interim deal, supposedly reached by P5+1 powers and Iran in Geneva in
the early hours of Sunday morning, had actually been completed as
claimed." Linking to a Fox News article echoing that sentiment, Rep.
Bill Huizenga (R-MI) suggested that the confusion accounts for the
"chilly bi-partisan response" that the White House has received to the
agreement.
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The Jerusalem Post, conveying a report from the Kuwaiti newspaper Al-Rai,
today described statements by senior British diplomatic sources
revealing that London has been facilitating secret indirect talks
between the Obama administration and Hezbollah, a group that is
designated as a terrorist organization under U.S. law. Recent months have seen Hezbollah's diplomatic position and regional influence slip. The European Union earlier this year partially designated the
Iran-backed group as a terror entity, while Sunni states - which hold
the organization responsible for bolstering Syria's Bashar al-Assad
regime in that country's two-and-a-half-year conflict - have moved to
economically suffocate it. Hezbollah and its Iranian sponsors are known
to be seeking to break the group out of its diplomatic isolation. The Al-Rai
report described a recent phone call between Iranian President Hassan
Rouhani and British Prime Minister David Cameron in which Rouhani linked
Hezbollah's position to negotiations between Iran and the West.
Meanwhile Lebanon's Daily Star described "ongoing
communication" between the European Union and Hezbollah, with Hezbollah
figures leaking that Europe is 'laying the groundwork to reverse' its
decision to partially declare that the group is a terrorist
organization.
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TIME reports that Saudi
Arabia is considering acquiring nuclear weapons - almost certain to be
purchased off the shelf from Pakistan, the nuclear program of which
Riyadh sponsored - in response to fears that the international community
is positioning Iran to complete what is widely believed to be its drive
toward producing its own nuclear weapons. TIME
describes "an almost palpable sense of frustration, betrayal and
impotence as Saudi Arabia watched" Iran secure an interim deal with the
international community that, it is now known, will allow Iran
to stockpile enriched uranium converted to uranium oxide and continue
construction on its plutonium facility at Arak. The agreement also seems to concede that Iran will be allowed to continue enriching in the context of a comprehensive agreement, and analysts have emphasized that it also risks
a downward spiral that endangers the international sanctions regime.
Washington has sought to reassure its traditional Saudi allies that the
arrangement is in fact a good one, with uneven success. Meanwhile
Raytheon late last week announced that it was preparing to finalize the sale of missile defense systems to several Gulf countries, with Aviation Week
quoting 'U.S. industry executives' sardonically noting that "Gulf
nations have not signaled any declining interest in beefing up their
missile defense capabilities despite recent U.S. talks with Iran."
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